沙田 · 2020-10-24
第 9場
2020-10-24沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的LOCKHEED勝出，贏出3/4。KEEP YOU WARM獲得亞軍；BIG FORTUNE獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門BIZ POWER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LOCKHEED B/TT 1.08.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 12 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | BIZ POWER B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | ULTIMATE GLORY V H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 3 | 42.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | PING HAI BRAVO E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | WINNING BREW K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 11 | 57.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | TELECOM PUMA SR/TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 75.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | KING'S HORN B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 302.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | KA YING LEGEND TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 10 | 101.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | FANTASTIC SHOW B A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 5 | 38.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WINNING BREW | 25.2% | 3.98 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | BIZ POWER | 24.1% | 4.16 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | BIG FORTUNE | 13.4% | 7.44 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | PING HAI BRAVO | 11.0% | 9.08 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | LOCKHEED | 7.3% | 13.79 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 5.1% | 19.75 | 12 |
| 7 | 9 | KEEP YOU WARM | 4.3% | 23.23 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | TELECOM PUMA | 3.6% | 27.82 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 2.5% | 39.39 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 1.9% | 52.27 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | KA YING LEGEND | 1.2% | 80.19 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | KING'S HORN | 0.4% | 236.54 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 54.5
PLACE
3 17.5
4 17
9 37.5
QUINELLA
3,9 310.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 45.5
3,9 110.5
4,9 93.5
FORECAST
3,9 539
TIERCE
3,9,4 2,547
TRIO
3,4,9 441
FIRST 4
3,4,6,9 261
QUARTET
3,9,4,6 7,259
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22
8TH DOUBLE
3/3 1,673.5
3/9 496