沙田 · 2020-10-24
第 10場
2020-10-24沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的MIGHTY GIANT勝出，贏出N。BALLISTIC KING獲得亞軍；SKY FIELD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.0倍大熱門SKY FIELD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MIGHTY GIANT 後段發力 B 1.20.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 4.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | BALLISTIC KING 後段發力 N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 4 | 20.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | SKY FIELD 後段發力 TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | LUCKY EXPRESS 後段發力 E/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 6.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | WATER DIVINER 後段發力 B/H/TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 5 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | BEAUTY SMILE B1/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 13 | 61.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | MAXIMUS 後段發力 SR1 A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 8 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 11 | 125.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | ASSIMILATE 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | BEAUTY LEGACY E K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 12 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | RIGHT CHOICE B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 14 | 187.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT CP/XB/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | MAGNIFICENT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 149.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 11 | BEAUTY AMIGO 早段領放 B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 222.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CIRCUIT GLORY K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SKY FIELD | 35.4% | 2.82 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | MIGHTY GIANT | 23.8% | 4.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 15.9% | 6.28 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT | 5.0% | 20.11 | 12 |
| 5 | 14 | BEAUTY SMILE | 3.1% | 32.18 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | BALLISTIC KING | 3.0% | 33.49 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | ASSIMILATE | 2.4% | 40.95 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | RIGHT CHOICE | 2.4% | 41.65 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 1.9% | 51.43 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 1.9% | 52.27 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | MAGNIFICENT | 1.8% | 56.24 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | WATER DIVINER | 1.6% | 63.96 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | MAXIMUS | 1.1% | 89.26 | 7 |
| 14 | 11 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 0.6% | 160.62 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 40.5
PLACE
2 14.5
4 37
6 12
QUINELLA
2,4 258.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 79
2,6 18.5
4,6 60
FORECAST
2,4 348
TIERCE
2,4,6 885
TRIO
2,4,6 145
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 120
QUARTET
2,4,6,5 3,072
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,9/2,4,6 4,971
9TH DOUBLE
3/2 151.5
3/4 186
SIX UP
2,9/6,12/1,6/3,14/3,9/2,4 10,954
2/12/1/3/3/2 1,427,291
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
3/3/2 4,557
3/3/4 3,894