沙田 · 2020-10-24
第 5場
2020-10-24沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEAUTY ANGEL勝出，贏出1-1/2。CHEERFUL STAR獲得亞軍；JIMMU獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY ANGEL 一路領先 TT 1.47.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEERFUL STAR 後段發力 CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 8.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | JIMMU 後段發力 SR J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 7 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | FAMILY LEADER B C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | SMART COUSIN M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 87.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | FULL POWER B/XB C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 3 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | STARSHIP 後段發力 B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | DYNAMIC EAGLE 後段發力 B/H/XB/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 12 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 6.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SALTO OLIMPICO B H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 166.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | DRAGON COMMANDER H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 44.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | VOLPINO H/XB/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 6 | 52.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | BULLISH GLORY H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 116.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 23.8% | 4.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | JIMMU | 23.4% | 4.27 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 12.3% | 8.13 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | FULL POWER | 10.4% | 9.60 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | FAMILY LEADER | 7.2% | 13.95 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | CHEERFUL STAR | 5.2% | 19.15 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 4.7% | 21.10 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | STARSHIP | 4.3% | 23.43 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 3.6% | 27.62 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | VOLPINO | 2.3% | 43.85 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | SMART COUSIN | 0.9% | 106.60 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | BULLISH GLORY | 0.9% | 107.99 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 0.9% | 108.75 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 28
PLACE
2 15.5
8 17.5
9 28
QUINELLA
2,9 165.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 36.5
2,9 71
8,9 97
FORECAST
2,9 263
TIERCE
2,9,8 1,171
TRIO
2,8,9 299
FIRST 4
2,7,8,9 345
QUARTET
2,9,8,7 6,005
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 279
4/9 170