Sha Tin · 2020-10-24
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-24 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY ANGEL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/2, with CHEERFUL STAR second and JIMMU third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY ANGEL Wire to wire TT 1.47.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 8.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | JIMMU Closed strongly SR J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 7 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | FAMILY LEADER B C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | SMART COUSIN M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 87.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | FULL POWER B/XB C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 3 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | STARSHIP Closed strongly B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly B/H/XB/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 12 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 6.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SALTO OLIMPICO B H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 166.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | DRAGON COMMANDER H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 44.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | VOLPINO H/XB/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 6 | 52.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | BULLISH GLORY H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 116.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 23.8% | 4.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | JIMMU | 23.4% | 4.27 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 12.3% | 8.13 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | FULL POWER | 10.4% | 9.60 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | FAMILY LEADER | 7.2% | 13.95 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | CHEERFUL STAR | 5.2% | 19.15 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 4.7% | 21.10 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | STARSHIP | 4.3% | 23.43 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 3.6% | 27.62 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | VOLPINO | 2.3% | 43.85 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | SMART COUSIN | 0.9% | 106.60 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | BULLISH GLORY | 0.9% | 107.99 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 0.9% | 108.75 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 28
PLACE
2 15.5
8 17.5
9 28
QUINELLA
2,9 165.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 36.5
2,9 71
8,9 97
FORECAST
2,9 263
TIERCE
2,9,8 1,171
TRIO
2,8,9 299
FIRST 4
2,7,8,9 345
QUARTET
2,9,8,7 6,005
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 279
4/9 170