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Sha Tin · 2020-10-24

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course C 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-24 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. GOKO, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with ALL THE WAY second and COMFORT LIFE third. The 3.4 favourite GIVE WAY PLEASE finished 11th.

Result

Official · 0.57.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 GOKO B/XB/TT 0.57.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C H Yip 14 5.6 1/2
2 11 ALL THE WAY B/TT C Wong · A T Millard 5 229.0 1/2
3 9 COMFORT LIFE V-/XB/B1/TT J Moreira · F C Lor 2 11.0 1/2
4 12 QIPAO BOSS H- M F Poon · D J Hall 10 11.0 1
5 7 SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui 8 4.9 2-1/4
6 3 MULTIMORE TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz 7 5.3 3
7 4 SCENIC SWEETIE H- A Badel · Y S Tsui 9 103.0 3-1/4
8 5 YOUNG VICTORY T Piccone · W Y So 13 8.8 3-3/4
9 6 APOLAR WARRIOR B-/CP1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 104.0 4-1/2
10 1 CRUCIATUS H-/XB1/TT B Shinn · C W Chang 1 155.0 5-1/2
11 2 GIVE WAY PLEASE XB1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes 12 3.4 5-3/4
12 13 VEGA RHYTHM H V Borges · L Ho 4 149.0 6-3/4
13 8 ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man 6 97.0 9-1/2
14 14 WONDERFUL TIMES XB/TT H N Wong · A T Millard 11 246.0 10-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOKO2. ALL THE WAY+0.5L3. COMFORT LIFE+0.5L4. QIPAO BOSS+1L5. SPARKLING DOLPHIN+2.25L6. MULTIMORE+3L7. SCENIC SWEETIE+3.25L8. YOUNG VICTORY+3.75L9. APOLAR WARRIOR+4.5L10. CRUCIATUS+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick MULTIMORE (27.6%) finished 6th — the winner GOKO was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 MULTIMORE 27.6% 3.63 6
2 9 COMFORT LIFE 20.5% 4.87 3
3 2 GIVE WAY PLEASE 13.5% 7.39 11
4 7 SPARKLING DOLPHIN 12.5% 8.00 5
5 10 GOKO 8.2% 12.21 1
6 5 YOUNG VICTORY 4.6% 21.60 8
7 12 QIPAO BOSS 3.6% 28.11 4
8 13 VEGA RHYTHM 3.5% 28.18 12
9 4 SCENIC SWEETIE 1.7% 58.62 7
10 6 APOLAR WARRIOR 1.4% 73.68 9
11 8 ALL BEST FRIENDS 0.8% 118.33 13
12 11 ALL THE WAY 0.8% 129.34 2
13 1 CRUCIATUS 0.8% 132.53 10
14 14 WONDERFUL TIMES 0.5% 200.58 14
MULTIMORECOMFORT LIFEGIVE WAY PLEASESPARKLING DOLPHINGOKO — wonYOUNG VICTORYQIPAO BOSSVEGA RHYTHMSCENIC SWEETIEAPOLAR WARRIORALL BEST FRIENDSALL THE WAYCRUCIATUSWONDERFUL TIMES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 56

PLACE

9 27.5

10 18.5

11 366.5

QUINELLA

10,11 4,328.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,10 71

9,11 1,614.5

10,11 1,020

FORECAST

10,11 8,610

TIERCE

10,11,9 67,362

TRIO

9,10,11 8,374

FIRST 4

9,10,11,12 8,598

QUARTET

10,11,9,12 240,366

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

12/10 580

12/11 2,905

3 PICK 1

A2 21

A1

A3