Sha Tin · 2020-10-24
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly V 1.22.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 14 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ADONIS Closed strongly CP/H K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly B C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 12 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA COUNCIL V- H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS B/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 5 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS B- K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 43.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | VITAL SPRING Closed strongly CP/TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 8 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 4.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT HARVEST B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 10 | 6.5 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | MASTERWORK Led early B-/H2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 149.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PERFECT HARMONY Closed strongly B/H/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 2 | 118.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | COOL ACE CP-/B2 C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 125.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 0 | PLANET FLYER B M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 249.0 | 26-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-24 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. THE FULL BLOOM, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with RED BRICK FIGHTER second and ADONIS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite SHANGHAI DRAGON finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 18.7% | 5.35 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | ADONIS | 17.5% | 5.71 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 17.4% | 5.74 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | VITAL SPRING | 10.6% | 9.41 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 8.1% | 12.32 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 7.7% | 13.00 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | GREAT HARVEST | 5.9% | 16.85 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | COOL ACE | 3.2% | 31.22 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 3.0% | 33.44 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | VIVA COUNCIL | 2.6% | 38.27 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 1.9% | 51.49 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | PERFECT HARMONY | 1.3% | 76.30 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | MASTERWORK | 1.2% | 82.56 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | PLANET FLYER | 0.7% | 136.08 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 91
PLACE
3 21
6 19.5
13 23.5
QUINELLA
6,13 258
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 78
3,13 84
6,13 87.5
FORECAST
13,6 504
TIERCE
13,6,3 2,648
TRIO
3,6,13 440
FIRST 4
3,6,11,13 432
QUARTET
13,6,3,11 10,967
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/6 77
10/13 444
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 28.5
A3 —