Sha Tin · 2020-10-24
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-24 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MONEYMORE, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with KA FORTUNE second and GOLDEN GENERAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite GALAXY EMPEROR finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MONEYMORE Closed strongly CP2 1.22.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 8.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | KA FORTUNE Closed strongly V-/XB- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | GOLDEN GENERAL Closed strongly XB K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 13 | 9.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | GALAXY EMPEROR CP/H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | BRAVERY AND POWER Closed strongly TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 3 | 38.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | LUCKY GUY Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | HOME WIN CP-/B2 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 6 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | FOR FUN'S SAKE H A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 6.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | FLYING SPIRIT XB/B1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 34.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | JOYFUL CHEERS Led early H-/B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 14 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | BREAK RECORD Closed strongly CP/TT V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 5 | 95.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | XIANG LAN QI K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 152.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | READY CONQUEROR Closed strongly T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 12 | 68.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | KA YING BRILLIANCE H/P/XB/TT1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 90.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 38.8% | 2.58 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | MONEYMORE | 11.9% | 8.40 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 10.5% | 9.48 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | HOME WIN | 6.7% | 15.03 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | KA FORTUNE | 6.3% | 15.85 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | BREAK RECORD | 4.5% | 22.04 | 11 |
| 7 | 14 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 4.5% | 22.31 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | LUCKY GUY | 3.7% | 26.98 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | JOYFUL CHEERS | 3.1% | 32.09 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | READY CONQUEROR | 3.1% | 32.17 | 13 |
| 11 | 13 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 2.0% | 50.70 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | FLYING SPIRIT | 1.7% | 57.96 | 9 |
| 13 | 8 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 1.7% | 58.65 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | XIANG LAN QI | 1.5% | 68.04 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 86
PLACE
4 16
12 25
14 26
QUINELLA
4,12 175
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 54
4,14 56
12,14 128
FORECAST
12,4 444
TIERCE
12,4,14 3,249
TRIO
4,12,14 448
FIRST 4
4,10,12,14 252
QUARTET
12,4,14,10 10,026
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21
A1 —