沙田 · 2020-11-22
第 2場
2020-11-22沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由B Shinn策騎、D A Hayes訓練的HARMONY N BLESSED勝出，贏出2。EVERYONE'S DELIGHT獲得亞軍；FIRE BALL獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED XB1 1.08.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | FIRE BALL B-/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 6 | 93.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 2 | 3.8 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | CHARITY GRACE H J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 5 | 7.9 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | STAY CHILL T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 8 | 58.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | GOLDEN LINK B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 13 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW B/H C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 7 | 113.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | HARD PROMISE TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 14 | 37.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | EL VALIENTE B1 M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 113.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SCENIC SWEETIE B1 A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 9 | 46.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | PICHU TT1 N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 11 | 166.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | RUNNING GUY H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 343.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 40.4% | 2.48 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH | 23.1% | 4.33 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | GOLDEN LINK | 6.5% | 15.50 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | CHARITY GRACE | 5.4% | 18.44 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | PICHU | 4.2% | 24.06 | 13 |
| 6 | 12 | GALLANT CROWN | 3.8% | 26.61 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | SCENIC SWEETIE | 3.2% | 31.54 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | EL VALIENTE | 2.9% | 34.01 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | HARD PROMISE | 2.7% | 37.30 | 10 |
| 10 | 13 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 2.4% | 41.87 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | STAY CHILL | 2.2% | 45.15 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.1% | 47.48 | 1 |
| 13 | 14 | FIRE BALL | 0.9% | 114.12 | 3 |
| 14 | 11 | RUNNING GUY | 0.3% | 290.32 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 25.5
PLACE
2 15.5
8 13
14 135
QUINELLA
2,8 65.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 28
2,14 383.5
8,14 296
FORECAST
8,2 113
TIERCE
8,2,14 3,751
TRIO
2,8,14 834
FIRST 4
1,2,8,14 791
QUARTET
8,2,14,1 16,852
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
6/2 104
6/8 420.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16.5