沙田 · 2020-11-22
第 4場
2020-11-22沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、D J Hall訓練的HALL OF CHAMP勝出，贏出N。SPEED FAY FAY獲得亞軍；TRIPLE TRIPLE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP 後段發力 1.21.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 3 | 3.4 | N |
| 2 | 6 | SPEED FAY FAY 後段發力 B C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 5 | 9.4 | N |
| 3 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE 後段發力 V-/CP1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 10 | 23.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | FORTUNE MASTER 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 36.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | WONDER EXPRESS 後段發力 CP/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 1 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | BIG LUCK CHAMP 後段發力 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | RED MAJESTY CP1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 8 | 123.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | SUPER KIN B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 39.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER TEN XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 13 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | GALACTIC A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 14 | 14.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | CHAIRMAN LO B/TT1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 26.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | FORZA ANGEL 早段領放 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 139.0 | 17-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SPEED FAY FAY | 15.6% | 6.39 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 12.4% | 8.09 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP | 12.3% | 8.15 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 9.8% | 10.17 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER TEN | 9.2% | 10.87 | 11 |
| 6 | 13 | WONDER EXPRESS | 8.3% | 12.09 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | GALACTIC | 7.9% | 12.59 | 12 |
| 8 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 6.6% | 15.14 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | BIG LUCK CHAMP | 5.6% | 17.89 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | CHAIRMAN LO | 4.7% | 21.29 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | SUPER KIN | 2.7% | 37.58 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | FORTUNE MASTER | 2.5% | 40.33 | 5 |
| 13 | 8 | FORZA ANGEL | 1.7% | 59.32 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | RED MAJESTY | 0.7% | 133.38 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 34.5
PLACE
1 14.5
2 19
6 26.5
QUINELLA
1,6 132
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 38.5
1,6 54.5
2,6 77
FORECAST
1,6 322
TIERCE
1,6,2 955
TRIO
1,2,6 181
FIRST 4
1,2,6,12 694
QUARTET
1,6,2,12 9,988
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/1,2,6 918
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 36.5
2/6 20.5