Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-11-22

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly 1.21.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Hall 3 3.4 N
2 0 SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B C Schofield · T P Yung 5 9.4 N
3 0 TRIPLE TRIPLE Closed strongly V-/CP1 Z Purton · F C Lor 7 4.7 1/2
4 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P F Yiu 10 23.0 3/4
5 0 FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 36.0 1-3/4
6 0 WONDER EXPRESS Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · K H Ting 1 6.1 2-1/4
7 0 MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz 6 10.0 3-1/4
8 0 BIG LUCK CHAMP Closed strongly K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 12 25.0 4
9 0 RED MAJESTY CP1 B Shinn · D A Hayes 8 123.0 6-1/2
10 0 SUPER KIN B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 2 39.0 6-3/4
11 0 SUPER TEN XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte 13 10.0 7-1/4
12 0 GALACTIC A Hamelin · A T Millard 14 14.0 11-1/4
13 0 CHAIRMAN LO B/TT1 J Moreira · J Size 9 26.0 15-3/4
14 0 FORZA ANGEL Led early H N Wong · Y S Tsui 11 139.0 17-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HALL OF CHAMP, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with SPEED FAY FAY second and TRIPLE TRIPLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HALL OF CHAMP—2. SPEED FAY FAY+0.05L3. TRIPLE TRIPLE+0.5L4. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+0.75L5. FORTUNE MASTER+1.75L6. WONDER EXPRESS+2.25L7. MORE THAN ENOUGH+3.25L8. BIG LUCK CHAMP+4L9. RED MAJESTY+6.5L10. SUPER KIN+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SPEED FAY FAY (15.6%) finished 2nd — the winner HALL OF CHAMP was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SPEED FAY FAY 15.6% 6.39 2
2 0 TRIPLE TRIPLE 12.4% 8.09 3
3 0 HALL OF CHAMP 12.3% 8.15 1
4 0 MORE THAN ENOUGH 9.8% 10.17 7
5 0 SUPER TEN 9.2% 10.87 11
6 0 WONDER EXPRESS 8.3% 12.09 6
7 0 GALACTIC 7.9% 12.59 12
8 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 6.6% 15.14 4
9 0 BIG LUCK CHAMP 5.6% 17.89 8
10 0 CHAIRMAN LO 4.7% 21.29 13
11 0 SUPER KIN 2.7% 37.58 10
12 0 FORTUNE MASTER 2.5% 40.33 5
13 0 FORZA ANGEL 1.7% 59.32 14
14 0 RED MAJESTY 0.7% 133.38 9
SPEED FAY FAYTRIPLE TRIPLEHALL OF CHAMP — wonMORE THAN ENOUGHSUPER TENWONDER EXPRESSGALACTICWINWIN THIRTYTHREEBIG LUCK CHAMPCHAIRMAN LOSUPER KINFORTUNE MASTERFORZA ANGELRED MAJESTY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 34.5

PLACE

1 14.5

2 19

6 26.5

QUINELLA

1,6 132

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 38.5

1,6 54.5

2,6 77

FORECAST

1,6 322

TIERCE

1,6,2 955

TRIO

1,2,6 181

FIRST 4

1,2,6,12 694

QUARTET

1,6,2,12 9,988

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,3/1,2,6 918

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 22

3RD DOUBLE

2/1 36.5

2/6 20.5