Sha Tin · 2020-11-22
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-22 was Group 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FURORE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with EXULTANT second and COLUMBUS COUNTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite EXULTANT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FURORE Closed strongly B/TT 1.59.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | EXULTANT XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 1.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | HO HO KHAN Closed strongly K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 6 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SINGAPORE SLING Closed strongly SR/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 85.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR2/TT N Callan · C S Shum | N Callan | C S Shum | 8 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | CHEFANO CP M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 4 | 65.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | TIME WARP Led early TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 27.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EXULTANT | 34.0% | 2.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | FURORE | 24.9% | 4.02 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 23.7% | 4.22 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 6.3% | 15.85 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | TIME WARP | 3.9% | 25.77 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE | 2.3% | 43.25 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | CHEFANO | 2.1% | 48.37 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | SINGAPORE SLING | 1.6% | 61.24 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | HO HO KHAN | 1.2% | 85.23 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 24.5
PLACE
1 11
3 10.5
8 24
QUINELLA
1,3 24.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 14
1,8 32.5
3,8 32.5
FORECAST
3,1 65
TIERCE
3,1,8 228
TRIO
1,3,8 49
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 43
QUARTET
3,1,8,6 622
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,11/1,3,8 4,318
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 11
6TH DOUBLE
11/1 16
11/3 136.5
WINNING TRAINER
B1 10.5
B2 —
B3 —