Sha Tin · 2020-11-22
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E 1.21.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 5 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 13 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY PATCH Closed strongly B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | THE HULK Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS H- H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 394.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SHOUSON B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 4 | 197.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | EQUALETTA BLITZ Closed strongly B A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 6 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT SIX B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 8.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 14 | 136.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | TAKING AIM K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | PRINCE OF FROG Led early H/P/XB V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 8 | 16.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH P1/TT1 C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 300.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 32.0 | 99-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-22 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HEZA BEAUTY, ridden by N Callan and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with BEAUTY SMILE second and LUCKY PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE HULK | 32.4% | 3.09 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY | 13.6% | 7.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE | 13.4% | 7.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY PATCH | 8.7% | 11.53 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT SIX | 6.2% | 16.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | TAKING AIM | 5.6% | 17.92 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 4.6% | 21.71 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | PRINCE OF FROG | 3.9% | 25.92 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 2.9% | 34.78 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 2.6% | 39.09 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 2.4% | 42.42 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | SHOUSON | 1.8% | 54.57 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | BRIGHT KID | 1.4% | 71.44 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 0.7% | 151.42 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 43
PLACE
1 20
3 19
5 16.5
QUINELLA
1,5 120.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 58.5
1,5 45
3,5 52.5
FORECAST
5,1 175
TIERCE
5,1,3 1,120
TRIO
1,3,5 241
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 164
QUARTET
5,1,3,7 3,683
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 21
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 60.5
1/5 363