Sha Tin · 2020-11-22
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-22 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. FULL POWER, ridden by N Callan and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-1/4, with FAMILY LEADER second and KUNGFUMASTER PANDA third. The winner led throughout. The 3.5 favourite FAMILY LEADER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FULL POWER Wire to wire B/XB 2.00.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 4 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | FAMILY LEADER Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | ABOVE Closed strongly B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 10 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 6.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 9.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | SKY GEM Closed strongly B- V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | SMART COUSIN M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | MAGNETISM B/TT C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 9 | 23.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | KING'S RACE B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 46.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | EXALTATION V/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 13 | 7.6 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 12 | 32.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 62.0 | 25 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FAMILY LEADER | 20.8% | 4.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | EXALTATION | 15.1% | 6.62 | 11 |
| 3 | 12 | SKY GEM | 15.0% | 6.65 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | FULL POWER | 11.8% | 8.50 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 7.3% | 13.78 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | KING'S RACE | 6.9% | 14.53 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | CHEERFUL STAR | 5.8% | 17.18 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | ABOVE | 4.1% | 24.29 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | SMART COUSIN | 4.1% | 24.35 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 3.2% | 31.19 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | MAGNETISM | 2.7% | 36.91 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 2.3% | 42.82 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | BULLISH GLORY | 0.9% | 109.47 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 111
PLACE
6 29
8 14
11 36
QUINELLA
6,8 173.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 68
6,11 274.5
8,11 96
FORECAST
6,8 529
TIERCE
6,8,11 6,059
TRIO
6,8,11 907
FIRST 4
1,6,8,11 3,343
QUARTET
6,8,11,1 80,181
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 23