Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-11-22

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RACING FIGHTER B/TT 1.08.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip 9 9.3 SH
2 0 MIGHTY VALOR V Borges · P F Yiu 11 3.6 SH
3 0 DUBLIN STAR B A Hamelin · K L Man 14 49.0 1/2
4 0 KA YING MASTER TT C Schofield · T P Yung 6 7.5 1-3/4
5 0 SUPER FOOTBALL N Callan · K H Ting 4 122.0 2-1/2
6 0 ROMAN TURBO SR/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 1 5.3 2-1/2
7 0 TRANSCENDENT TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 2 7.3 3
8 0 AURORA PEGASUS TT A Badel · C Fownes 3 43.0 4-1/2
9 0 BIZ POWER B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan 10 7.4 4-1/2
10 0 WINNING FOR ALL H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 13 12.0 4-1/2
11 0 SAVAQUIN B Shinn · J Size 8 15.0 4-3/4
12 0 TORNADO TWIST H-/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 7 28.0 5-3/4
13 0 SMART FOLKS XB T Piccone · C W Chang 12 244.0 8
14 0 UNIVERSAL HERO H N Wong · Y S Tsui 5 367.0 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-22 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RACING FIGHTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with MIGHTY VALOR second and DUBLIN STAR third. The 3.6 favourite MIGHTY VALOR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RACING FIGHTER—2. MIGHTY VALOR+0.1L3. DUBLIN STAR+0.5L4. KA YING MASTER+1.75L5. SUPER FOOTBALL+2.5L6. ROMAN TURBO+2.5L7. TRANSCENDENT+3L8. AURORA PEGASUS+4.5L9. BIZ POWER+4.5L10. WINNING FOR ALL+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick MIGHTY VALOR (24.2%) finished 2nd — the winner RACING FIGHTER was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MIGHTY VALOR 24.2% 4.12 2
2 0 BIZ POWER 15.1% 6.61 9
3 0 KA YING MASTER 10.3% 9.69 4
4 0 ROMAN TURBO 9.0% 11.12 6
5 0 WINNING FOR ALL 8.2% 12.21 10
6 0 TRANSCENDENT 7.3% 13.61 7
7 0 RACING FIGHTER 5.4% 18.58 1
8 0 AURORA PEGASUS 5.3% 19.01 8
9 0 DUBLIN STAR 4.5% 22.39 3
10 0 TORNADO TWIST 4.2% 23.71 12
11 0 SUPER FOOTBALL 2.5% 40.40 5
12 0 SAVAQUIN 2.3% 44.17 11
13 0 UNIVERSAL HERO 1.0% 100.34 14
14 0 SMART FOLKS 0.7% 140.19 13
MIGHTY VALORBIZ POWERKA YING MASTERROMAN TURBOWINNING FOR ALLTRANSCENDENTRACING FIGHTER — wonAURORA PEGASUSDUBLIN STARTORNADO TWISTSUPER FOOTBALLSAVAQUINUNIVERSAL HEROSMART FOLKS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 93.5

PLACE

1 29

9 17

14 112

QUINELLA

1,9 210.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 82

1,14 664

9,14 308.5

FORECAST

1,9 369

TIERCE

1,9,14 17,428

TRIO

1,9,14 3,313

FIRST 4

1,7,9,14 4,262

QUARTET

1,9,14,7 120,725

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 26.5

7TH DOUBLE

3/1 306.5

3/9 21