沙田 · 2020-11-22
第 8場
2020-11-22沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的RACING FIGHTER勝出，贏出SH。MIGHTY VALOR獲得亞軍；DUBLIN STAR獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門MIGHTY VALOR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT 1.08.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 9.3 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | MIGHTY VALOR V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 11 | 3.6 | SH |
| 3 | 14 | DUBLIN STAR B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 14 | 49.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | KA YING MASTER TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 6 | 7.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER FOOTBALL N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 4 | 122.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | ROMAN TURBO SR/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 1 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | TRANSCENDENT TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.3 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | AURORA PEGASUS TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 43.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | BIZ POWER B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 7.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | WINNING FOR ALL H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SAVAQUIN B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 8 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | TORNADO TWIST H-/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | SMART FOLKS XB T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 12 | 244.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | UNIVERSAL HERO H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 367.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MIGHTY VALOR | 24.2% | 4.12 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | BIZ POWER | 15.1% | 6.61 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | KA YING MASTER | 10.3% | 9.69 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | ROMAN TURBO | 9.0% | 11.12 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | WINNING FOR ALL | 8.2% | 12.21 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | TRANSCENDENT | 7.3% | 13.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | RACING FIGHTER | 5.4% | 18.58 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | AURORA PEGASUS | 5.3% | 19.01 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | DUBLIN STAR | 4.5% | 22.39 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | TORNADO TWIST | 4.2% | 23.71 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 2.5% | 40.40 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | SAVAQUIN | 2.3% | 44.17 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | UNIVERSAL HERO | 1.0% | 100.34 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | SMART FOLKS | 0.7% | 140.19 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 93.5
PLACE
1 29
9 17
14 112
QUINELLA
1,9 210.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 82
1,14 664
9,14 308.5
FORECAST
1,9 369
TIERCE
1,9,14 17,428
TRIO
1,9,14 3,313
FIRST 4
1,7,9,14 4,262
QUARTET
1,9,14,7 120,725
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 26.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/1 306.5
3/9 21