沙田 · 2020-11-22
第 6場
2020-11-22沙田第6場，Class 2，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的WINNING DELIGHT勝出，贏出3/4。ENJOYING獲得亞軍；TIANCHI MONSTER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WINNING DELIGHT 後段發力 TT 1.46.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 4.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | ENJOYING 後段發力 B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | TIANCHI MONSTER 後段發力 A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 2 | 8.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | LAKESHORE EAGLE 後段發力 B1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | ENRICHMENT 後段發力 B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | PACKING WALTHAM 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 11 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 6 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | RELIABLE TEAM 早段領放 B-/CP1 C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 7 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM 後段發力 CP/H1/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE XB M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 4 | 8.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | ELUSIVE STATE B2/TT C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 5 | 71.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | AMAZING BEATS CP/TT M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 28.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 19.1% | 5.24 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | WINNING DELIGHT | 18.0% | 5.55 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | ELITE PATCH | 11.1% | 9.05 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | RELIABLE TEAM | 9.3% | 10.79 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 8.5% | 11.75 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | PACKING WALTHAM | 7.5% | 13.28 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 5.9% | 16.84 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 5.5% | 18.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | ENJOYING | 5.5% | 18.29 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | ENRICHMENT | 3.7% | 26.96 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | ELUSIVE STATE | 3.5% | 28.49 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | AMAZING BEATS | 2.4% | 41.80 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 43
PLACE
3 35.5
8 26.5
11 17
QUINELLA
3,11 314.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 142
3,11 112
8,11 86
FORECAST
11,3 423
TIERCE
11,3,8 3,174
TRIO
3,8,11 788
FIRST 4
3,4,8,11 638
QUARTET
11,3,8,4 14,982
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 22
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 48
1/11 209
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,6/1,5,7/3,8,11 141,552
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,6/1,5,7/Any Combination 349