沙田 · 2020-11-22
第 9場
2020-11-22沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由N Callan策騎、J Size訓練的HEZA BEAUTY勝出，贏出1/2。BEAUTY SMILE獲得亞軍；LUCKY PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HEZA BEAUTY 後段發力 E 1.21.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 5 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY SMILE 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 13 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | LUCKY PATCH 後段發力 B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | THE HULK 後段發力 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 後段發力 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | TELECOM FIGHTERS H- H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 394.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SHOUSON B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 4 | 197.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | EQUALETTA BLITZ 後段發力 B A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 6 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | CIRCUIT SIX B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 8.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | BRIGHT KID 後段發力 B/XB H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 14 | 136.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | TAKING AIM K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | PRINCE OF FROG 早段領放 H/P/XB V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 8 | 16.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | TELECOM CHEETAH P1/TT1 C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 300.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | EVERYONE'S JOY XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 32.0 | 99-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THE HULK | 32.4% | 3.09 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | HEZA BEAUTY | 13.6% | 7.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY SMILE | 13.4% | 7.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | LUCKY PATCH | 8.7% | 11.53 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | CIRCUIT SIX | 6.2% | 16.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | TAKING AIM | 5.6% | 17.92 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 4.6% | 21.71 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | PRINCE OF FROG | 3.9% | 25.92 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 2.9% | 34.78 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 2.6% | 39.09 | 14 |
| 11 | 11 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 2.4% | 42.42 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | SHOUSON | 1.8% | 54.57 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | BRIGHT KID | 1.4% | 71.44 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 0.7% | 151.42 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 43
PLACE
1 20
3 19
5 16.5
QUINELLA
1,5 120.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 58.5
1,5 45
3,5 52.5
FORECAST
5,1 175
TIERCE
5,1,3 1,120
TRIO
1,3,5 241
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 164
QUARTET
5,1,3,7 3,683
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 21
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 60.5
1/5 363