沙田 · 2020-12-06
第 2場
2020-12-06沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由N Callan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的TREASURE CHEST勝出，贏出2-3/4。STRATHCLYDE獲得亞軍；WAYFOONG CHARMER獲得季軍。頭馬以4.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TREASURE CHEST B/XB 1.09.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | STRATHCLYDE CP/TT B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 1 | 5.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | WAYFOONG CHARMER BO K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 6.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SUPREME PATROL B J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 7 | 8.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | TARGET FINDER B-/XB/H2 H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | REGENCY POET B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 3 | 5.9 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | MONEYMORE CP V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 9 | 17.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | VIVA COUNCIL V C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 4 | 6.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | TELECOM MISSILE V-/B2 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 31.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SKY TREASURE H/P2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 25.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 6 | STRONG PROMISE XB-/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 216.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TREASURE CHEST | 27.0% | 3.70 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | MONEYMORE | 14.8% | 6.76 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | REGENCY POET | 11.5% | 8.66 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | TELECOM MISSILE | 8.9% | 11.23 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | VIVA COUNCIL | 8.3% | 12.00 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | FOX CHEUNGER | 7.9% | 12.67 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 7.1% | 14.17 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPREME PATROL | 6.7% | 14.89 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | STRATHCLYDE | 3.5% | 28.51 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | TARGET FINDER | 2.7% | 37.18 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | SKY TREASURE | 1.5% | 65.10 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 47.5
PLACE
4 20
5 20.5
11 19.5
QUINELLA
5,11 138.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 69
4,11 64.5
5,11 56.5
FORECAST
11,5 553
TIERCE
11,5,4 1,983
TRIO
4,5,11 326
FIRST 4
4,5,10,11 766
QUARTET
11,5,4,10 16,943
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
7/5 61
7/11 377
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 19