沙田 · 2020-12-06
第 7場
2020-12-06沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、K H Ting訓練的MY SUGAR勝出，贏出4。CASIMIRO獲得亞軍；CHEERFUL DAYS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.1倍大熱門CHEERFUL DAYS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MY SUGAR 後段發力 CP1 1.21.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 1 | 4.4 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | CASIMIRO C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | CHEERFUL DAYS 後段發力 J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 2.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SUN OF MAKFI 後段發力 H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | BRAVE POWER 後段發力 CP-/B1/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 28.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SURE WIN WIN 後段發力 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 13 | 45.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | MAXIMIZE HEART B1 C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 270.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | UNICORNBABY 後段發力 B/TT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 12 | 47.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 12.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | SEVENTH SEA SR T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 6 | 166.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | DIAMOND RHYME XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 8.5 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | MARVELOUS FANS E- V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 24.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | RUN RUN GOOD CP C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 11 | 43.0 | 28-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | UNIVERSAL RECORD 早段領放 H W Lai · A T Millard | H W Lai | A T Millard | 5 | 290.0 | 29-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MY SUGAR | 28.2% | 3.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 22.3% | 4.49 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | CASIMIRO | 9.9% | 10.07 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | BRAVE POWER | 6.7% | 14.96 | 5 |
| 5 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 6.0% | 16.68 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | DIAMOND RHYME | 5.1% | 19.62 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | MARVELOUS FANS | 5.0% | 19.86 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | RUN RUN GOOD | 4.7% | 21.19 | 13 |
| 9 | 4 | UNICORNBABY | 3.1% | 31.93 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SURE WIN WIN | 2.7% | 36.65 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 2.6% | 37.79 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | SUN OF MAKFI | 1.7% | 57.86 | 4 |
| 13 | 14 | SEVENTH SEA | 1.2% | 82.15 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 0.6% | 165.81 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 44.5
PLACE
1 17
2 12
3 22
QUINELLA
1,3 157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 24.5
1,3 68.5
2,3 35
FORECAST
1,3 344
TIERCE
1,3,2 1,001
TRIO
1,2,3 135
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 370
QUARTET
1,3,2,11 11,488
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,13/1,2,3 68,428
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
13/1 159.5
13/3 89.5