沙田 · 2020-12-06
第 5場
2020-12-06沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由N Callan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的EXCELLENT CHARIOT勝出，贏出SH。SOARING TOWER獲得亞軍；VIGOR CHAMP獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門SOARING TOWER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT 1.09.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | SOARING TOWER K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 2.2 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | VIGOR CHAMP B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 25.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | MONSTER KAKA C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 1 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 9 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | STAR OF WUYI C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | MY ECSTATIC TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 3 | 6.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | ALL BEST FRIENDS T Piccone · K L Man | T Piccone | K L Man | 2 | 70.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SIGHT HERO CP1 A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 6 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | OURGOLDENRULES XB1 V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 7 | 290.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | VECTOR H/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 5 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | PACKING MILES B1/TT1 A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 12 | 104.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | AUGUST MOON A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SOARING TOWER | 28.2% | 3.55 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 18.3% | 5.47 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | MONSTER KAKA | 14.5% | 6.88 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | MY ECSTATIC | 10.8% | 9.29 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | VIGOR CHAMP | 6.9% | 14.40 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | STAR OF WUYI | 4.7% | 21.46 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | SIGHT HERO | 4.6% | 21.69 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | OURGOLDENRULES | 3.3% | 30.54 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | PACKING MILES | 3.2% | 31.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | VECTOR | 2.5% | 39.48 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | VOYAGE STAR | 1.6% | 61.71 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 1.4% | 71.38 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 30
PLACE
1 13
2 12.5
11 41.5
QUINELLA
1,2 38
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 18.5
1,11 88
2,11 90
FORECAST
2,1 94
TIERCE
2,1,11 749
TRIO
1,2,11 168
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 450
QUARTET
2,1,11,3 5,870
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 12.5
4TH DOUBLE
10/1 31
10/2 336.5