沙田 · 2020-12-06
第 9場
2020-12-06沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K C Leung策騎、C H Yip訓練的TURIN REDSTAR勝出，贏出3/4。PARTY EVERYDAY獲得亞軍；PING HAI TREASURE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門PARTY EVERYDAY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TURIN REDSTAR 後段發力 TT 1.38.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 60.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | PING HAI TREASURE 後段發力 P T Piccone · J Size | T Piccone | J Size | 1 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 6 | 45.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | BRIGHT KID 後段發力 B-/XB-/P2 H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 9 | 121.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | SKYEY SUPREME 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 2 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | CLEAR CHOICE 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | THE HULK 後段發力 PC2 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | DEAL MAKER H V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 14 | 29.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | TOUCH OF LUCK 後段發力 CP C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 11.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | RIGHT CHOICE B N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 3 | 11.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | WISDOM PATCH XB/TT H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 10 | 158.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | POISED TO STRIKE 早段領放 XB1 C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 11 | 147.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | WORLD FAMOUS B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 13 | 13.0 | 24 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SKYEY SUPREME | 37.0% | 2.70 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 22.8% | 4.39 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | WORLD FAMOUS | 5.3% | 19.04 | 14 |
| 4 | 7 | THE HULK | 5.2% | 19.30 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 5.0% | 19.97 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | PING HAI TREASURE | 4.6% | 21.79 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | GREAT TREASURE | 4.3% | 23.11 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | CLEAR CHOICE | 4.2% | 23.69 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | DEAL MAKER | 3.9% | 25.38 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | RIGHT CHOICE | 3.4% | 29.25 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | TURIN REDSTAR | 1.3% | 78.61 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | POISED TO STRIKE | 1.2% | 86.78 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | WISDOM PATCH | 1.0% | 98.76 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | BRIGHT KID | 0.8% | 117.96 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 608
PLACE
6 44.5
8 117
9 12.5
QUINELLA
8,9 600
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 800
6,9 74.5
8,9 182.5
FORECAST
8,9 2,560
TIERCE
8,9,6 27,910
TRIO
6,8,9 2,291
FIRST 4
5,6,8,9 6,799
6,8,9,11 18,115
QUARTET
8,9,6,5 273,864
8,9,6,11 785,249
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 34.5
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
6/8 5,126.5
6/9 41.5