沙田 · 2020-12-06
第 6場
2020-12-06沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的KA YING EXCELLENT勝出，贏出1。E STAR獲得亞軍；HAPPY QIJI獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | KA YING EXCELLENT 後段發力 CP/TT 1.21.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 10 | 3.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | E STAR 後段發力 H N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 3 | 6.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPY QIJI 後段發力 H/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 11 | 284.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | IGNITING B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 7.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | AMAZING NEWS 後段發力 TT1 C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 6 | 46.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SMOOTHIES B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 5 | 6.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | MISSION TYCOON B/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | CELESTIAL POWER 後段發力 B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | LEAP OF FAITH B1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 8.1 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | SHOUSON B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 13 | 141.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | PRIME MINISTER 早段領放 V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 14 | 167.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | FANTASTIC SHOW 後段發力 B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 106.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL H N Wong · D A Hayes | H N Wong | D A Hayes | 2 | 293.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | CHICKEN DANCE CP A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 5.9 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 19.9% | 5.02 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | E STAR | 15.9% | 6.31 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | CHICKEN DANCE | 14.9% | 6.73 | 14 |
| 4 | 9 | IGNITING | 8.9% | 11.21 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | LEAP OF FAITH | 7.7% | 12.93 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | CELESTIAL POWER | 7.4% | 13.57 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | MISSION TYCOON | 7.3% | 13.62 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | SMOOTHIES | 4.9% | 20.21 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | AMAZING NEWS | 4.8% | 20.65 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SHOUSON | 4.0% | 24.84 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 1.6% | 63.80 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | PRIME MINISTER | 1.4% | 69.84 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 0.6% | 158.36 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | HAPPY QIJI | 0.6% | 173.72 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 34
PLACE
1 19
8 466
13 15
QUINELLA
1,13 112.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 1,791
1,13 42
8,13 947.5
FORECAST
13,1 203
TIERCE
13,1,8 14,483
TRIO
1,8,13 3,338
FIRST 4
1,8,9,13 5,344
QUARTET
13,1,8,9 115,713
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 23
5TH DOUBLE
2/1 26.5
2/13 177.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,10,13/1,2,11/Any Combination 26,748