沙田 · 2020-12-06
第 8場
2020-12-06沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、J Size訓練的PING HAI BRAVO勝出，贏出N。VALIANT DREAM獲得亞軍；FIRST RESPONDER獲得季軍。1.6倍大熱門JOYFUL FORTUNE跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PING HAI BRAVO E/TT 0.56.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 6.8 | N |
| 2 | 5 | VALIANT DREAM K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 14 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 14 | FIRST RESPONDER B-/V1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 4 | 53.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | CRUISING CP1 C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 5 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR B N Callan · D A Hayes | N Callan | D A Hayes | 10 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | GOOD BEAUTY B/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 11 | 206.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | DANCING FIGHTER SR-/B1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 13 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | TELECOM SMART XB1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 419.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | LITTLE BIRD V T Piccone · K L Man | T Piccone | K L Man | 6 | 293.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | JOYFUL FORTUNE C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 8 | 1.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | BALTIC WHISPER TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 1 | 70.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 11 | GOOD LUCK CHARM H1 H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 12 | 371.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR CP/H/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 9 | 212.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | JOYFUL FORTUNE | 46.6% | 2.15 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | DANCING FIGHTER | 11.9% | 8.37 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR | 10.1% | 9.92 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | PING HAI BRAVO | 9.7% | 10.29 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | VALIANT DREAM | 8.2% | 12.12 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | CRUISING | 3.7% | 26.74 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 2.4% | 41.25 | 8 |
| 8 | 14 | FIRST RESPONDER | 2.4% | 42.14 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | GOOD BEAUTY | 1.7% | 59.55 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | LITTLE BIRD | 0.9% | 109.74 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | BALTIC WHISPER | 0.9% | 110.37 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR | 0.8% | 120.12 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | GOOD LUCK CHARM | 0.3% | 308.45 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | TELECOM SMART | 0.2% | 409.48 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 68.5
PLACE
5 23
6 20
14 80
QUINELLA
5,6 241.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 68.5
5,14 393
6,14 237.5
FORECAST
6,5 919
TIERCE
6,5,14 11,741
TRIO
5,6,14 2,983
FIRST 4
1,5,6,14 6,579
QUARTET
6,5,14,1 104,083
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 33
7TH DOUBLE
1/5 92.5
1/6 393