Sha Tin · 2020-12-06
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PING HAI BRAVO E/TT 0.56.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 6.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | VALIANT DREAM K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 14 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | FIRST RESPONDER B-/V1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 4 | 53.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CRUISING CP1 C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 5 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR B N Callan · D A Hayes | N Callan | D A Hayes | 10 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY B/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 11 | 206.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | DANCING FIGHTER SR-/B1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 13 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TELECOM SMART XB1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 419.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | LITTLE BIRD V T Piccone · K L Man | T Piccone | K L Man | 6 | 293.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL FORTUNE C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 8 | 1.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BALTIC WHISPER TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 1 | 70.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | GOOD LUCK CHARM H1 H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 12 | 371.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR CP/H/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 9 | 212.0 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-06 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. PING HAI BRAVO, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by N, with VALIANT DREAM second and FIRST RESPONDER third. The 1.6 favourite JOYFUL FORTUNE finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL FORTUNE | 46.6% | 2.15 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | DANCING FIGHTER | 11.9% | 8.37 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR | 10.1% | 9.92 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | PING HAI BRAVO | 9.7% | 10.29 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | VALIANT DREAM | 8.2% | 12.12 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CRUISING | 3.7% | 26.74 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 2.4% | 41.25 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | FIRST RESPONDER | 2.4% | 42.14 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 1.7% | 59.55 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | LITTLE BIRD | 0.9% | 109.74 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | BALTIC WHISPER | 0.9% | 110.37 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR | 0.8% | 120.12 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | GOOD LUCK CHARM | 0.3% | 308.45 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | TELECOM SMART | 0.2% | 409.48 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 68.5
PLACE
5 23
6 20
14 80
QUINELLA
5,6 241.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 68.5
5,14 393
6,14 237.5
FORECAST
6,5 919
TIERCE
6,5,14 11,741
TRIO
5,6,14 2,983
FIRST 4
1,5,6,14 6,579
QUARTET
6,5,14,1 104,083
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 33
7TH DOUBLE
1/5 92.5
1/6 393