Sha Tin · 2020-12-06
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly B 1.39.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 3 | 8.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | PROUD SKY Closed strongly V H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 13 | 90.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 11 | 43.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | KEEP WINNING Led early TT C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 2 | 8.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SHINEALOT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 3.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly H-/B2 J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 7 | 3.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GENERAL DINO Closed strongly B N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 14 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY CHARM B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 6 | 40.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SACRED TIMING Closed strongly B V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 10 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM V K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 12 | 37.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE BUDDY B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 1 | 97.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | EVER STRONG B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 8 | 40.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | BULB ELITE CP A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 19.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TURF BRILLIANT, ridden by T Piccone and trained by W Y So, won by 2, with CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE second and PROUD SKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite SHINEALOT finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 25.5% | 3.93 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 18.1% | 5.52 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 10.9% | 9.16 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT | 8.1% | 12.30 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SKY GEM | 6.8% | 14.67 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | BULB ELITE | 4.4% | 22.79 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 4.3% | 23.17 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | SACRED TIMING | 4.3% | 23.33 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 3.8% | 26.32 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 3.4% | 29.45 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | GENERAL DINO | 3.2% | 31.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE BUDDY | 2.8% | 35.22 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | EVER STRONG | 2.4% | 41.50 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | PROUD SKY | 2.0% | 51.00 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 85.5
PLACE
2 27
10 25
13 208
QUINELLA
2,10 355
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 126
2,13 1,292
10,13 1,623
FORECAST
10,2 831
TIERCE
10,2,13 59,813
TRIO
2,10,13 18,952
FIRST 4
2,4,10,13 76,657
QUARTET
10,2,13,4 1,034,865
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,10,12/2,10,13 1,178,076
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 49.5
2/10 440.5