Sha Tin · 2020-12-06
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLFMAN STAR 1.09.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 3 | 5.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO XB-/B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | DEMONS ROCK B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 11 | 40.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WAR LORD P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | DOLLAR REWARD P/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 5 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLD COMET CP C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 9 | 3.9 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY B1 K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 6 | 48.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TELECOM PUMA H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 6.4 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT XB1/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 69.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | AFRICAN SKY XB-/B/TT H W Lai · T P Yung | H W Lai | T P Yung | 1 | 172.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 12 | 42.0 | 15 |
| 12 | 0 | CAPSULE KING N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 8 | 7.6 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GOLFMAN STAR, ridden by K H Chan and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with HAPPY TANGO second and DEMONS ROCK third. The 3.8 favourite WAR LORD finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WAR LORD | 29.3% | 3.41 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 13.8% | 7.24 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO | 9.1% | 10.97 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | TELECOM PUMA | 7.3% | 13.77 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | DOLLAR REWARD | 7.2% | 13.80 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLFMAN STAR | 6.9% | 14.40 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | DEMONS ROCK | 6.2% | 16.13 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLD COMET | 5.8% | 17.27 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 4.6% | 21.71 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | CAPSULE KING | 4.4% | 22.67 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 3.3% | 29.90 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | AFRICAN SKY | 2.0% | 50.62 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 55
PLACE
2 18.5
10 90.5
12 30.5
QUINELLA
2,12 396
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 309
2,12 120
10,12 504.5
FORECAST
2,12 642
TIERCE
2,12,10 15,868
TRIO
2,10,12 4,624
FIRST 4
2,9,10,12 3,064
QUARTET
2,12,10,9 68,225
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
11/2 452.5
11/12 133.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 24