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Sha Tin · 2020-12-06

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TURIN REDSTAR Closed strongly TT 1.38.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C H Yip 5 60.0 3/4
2 0 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 4 2.5 3/4
3 0 PING HAI TREASURE Closed strongly P T Piccone · J Size 1 16.0 1-1/4
4 0 BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B-/XB-/P2 H N Wong · W Y So 9 121.0 1-1/2
4 0 GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly C Schofield · Y S Tsui 6 45.0 1-1/2
6 0 SKYEY SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui 2 3.5 1-3/4
7 0 CLEAR CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum 8 19.0 2
8 0 THE HULK Closed strongly PC2 B Shinn · C Fownes 12 14.0 3-1/4
9 0 DEAL MAKER H V Borges · K H Ting 14 29.0 6-3/4
10 0 TOUCH OF LUCK Closed strongly CP C L Chau · D J Whyte 7 11.0 8-1/4
11 0 RIGHT CHOICE B N Callan · F C Lor 3 11.0 10-3/4
12 0 WISDOM PATCH XB/TT H W Lai · C W Chang 10 158.0 11-1/4
13 0 POISED TO STRIKE Led early XB1 C Wong · D A Hayes 11 147.0 12-1/2
14 0 WORLD FAMOUS B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu 13 13.0 24

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TURIN REDSTAR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with PARTY EVERYDAY second and PING HAI TREASURE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite PARTY EVERYDAY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TURIN REDSTAR—2. PARTY EVERYDAY+0.75L3. PING HAI TREASURE+1.25L4. BRIGHT KID+1.5L4. GREAT TREASURE+1.5L6. SKYEY SUPREME+1.75L7. CLEAR CHOICE+2L8. THE HULK+3.25L9. DEAL MAKER+6.75L10. TOUCH OF LUCK+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SKYEY SUPREME (37.0%) finished 6th — the winner TURIN REDSTAR was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SKYEY SUPREME 37.0% 2.70 6
2 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 22.8% 4.39 2
3 0 WORLD FAMOUS 5.3% 19.04 14
4 0 THE HULK 5.2% 19.30 8
5 0 TOUCH OF LUCK 5.0% 19.97 10
6 0 PING HAI TREASURE 4.6% 21.79 3
7 0 GREAT TREASURE 4.3% 23.11 4
8 0 CLEAR CHOICE 4.2% 23.69 7
9 0 DEAL MAKER 3.9% 25.38 9
10 0 RIGHT CHOICE 3.4% 29.25 11
11 0 TURIN REDSTAR 1.3% 78.61 1
12 0 POISED TO STRIKE 1.2% 86.78 13
13 0 WISDOM PATCH 1.0% 98.76 12
14 0 BRIGHT KID 0.8% 117.96 4
SKYEY SUPREMEPARTY EVERYDAYWORLD FAMOUSTHE HULKTOUCH OF LUCKPING HAI TREASUREGREAT TREASURECLEAR CHOICEDEAL MAKERRIGHT CHOICETURIN REDSTAR — wonPOISED TO STRIKEWISDOM PATCHBRIGHT KID

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 608

PLACE

6 44.5

8 117

9 12.5

QUINELLA

8,9 600

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 800

6,9 74.5

8,9 182.5

FORECAST

8,9 2,560

TIERCE

8,9,6 27,910

TRIO

6,8,9 2,291

FIRST 4

5,6,8,9 6,799

6,8,9,11 18,115

QUARTET

8,9,6,5 273,864

8,9,6,11 785,249

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 34.5

A2 —

8TH DOUBLE

6/8 5,126.5

6/9 41.5