Sha Tin · 2020-12-06
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TURIN REDSTAR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with PARTY EVERYDAY second and PING HAI TREASURE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite PARTY EVERYDAY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TURIN REDSTAR Closed strongly TT 1.38.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 60.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | PING HAI TREASURE Closed strongly P T Piccone · J Size | T Piccone | J Size | 1 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 6 | 45.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B-/XB-/P2 H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 9 | 121.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | SKYEY SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 2 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | CLEAR CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | THE HULK Closed strongly PC2 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | DEAL MAKER H V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 14 | 29.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | TOUCH OF LUCK Closed strongly CP C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 11.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | RIGHT CHOICE B N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 3 | 11.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | WISDOM PATCH XB/TT H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 10 | 158.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | POISED TO STRIKE Led early XB1 C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 11 | 147.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | WORLD FAMOUS B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 13 | 13.0 | 24 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SKYEY SUPREME | 37.0% | 2.70 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 22.8% | 4.39 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | WORLD FAMOUS | 5.3% | 19.04 | 14 |
| 4 | 7 | THE HULK | 5.2% | 19.30 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | TOUCH OF LUCK | 5.0% | 19.97 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | PING HAI TREASURE | 4.6% | 21.79 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | GREAT TREASURE | 4.3% | 23.11 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | CLEAR CHOICE | 4.2% | 23.69 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | DEAL MAKER | 3.9% | 25.38 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | RIGHT CHOICE | 3.4% | 29.25 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | TURIN REDSTAR | 1.3% | 78.61 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | POISED TO STRIKE | 1.2% | 86.78 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | WISDOM PATCH | 1.0% | 98.76 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | BRIGHT KID | 0.8% | 117.96 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 608
PLACE
6 44.5
8 117
9 12.5
QUINELLA
8,9 600
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 800
6,9 74.5
8,9 182.5
FORECAST
8,9 2,560
TIERCE
8,9,6 27,910
TRIO
6,8,9 2,291
FIRST 4
5,6,8,9 6,799
6,8,9,11 18,115
QUARTET
8,9,6,5 273,864
8,9,6,11 785,249
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 34.5
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
6/8 5,126.5
6/9 41.5