Sha Tin · 2020-12-06
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY SUGAR Closed strongly CP1 1.21.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 1 | 4.4 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | CASIMIRO C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 2.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 28.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 13 | 45.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART B1 C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 270.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | UNICORNBABY Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 12 | 47.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 12.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SEVENTH SEA SR T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 6 | 166.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DIAMOND RHYME XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 8.5 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MARVELOUS FANS E- V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 24.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD CP C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 11 | 43.0 | 28-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | UNIVERSAL RECORD Led early H W Lai · A T Millard | H W Lai | A T Millard | 5 | 290.0 | 29-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-06 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MY SUGAR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K H Ting, won by 4, with CASIMIRO second and CHEERFUL DAYS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite CHEERFUL DAYS finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY SUGAR | 28.2% | 3.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 22.3% | 4.49 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 9.9% | 10.07 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 6.7% | 14.96 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 6.0% | 16.68 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | DIAMOND RHYME | 5.1% | 19.62 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | MARVELOUS FANS | 5.0% | 19.86 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 4.7% | 21.19 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | UNICORNBABY | 3.1% | 31.93 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN | 2.7% | 36.65 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 2.6% | 37.79 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 1.7% | 57.86 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | SEVENTH SEA | 1.2% | 82.15 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 0.6% | 165.81 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 44.5
PLACE
1 17
2 12
3 22
QUINELLA
1,3 157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 24.5
1,3 68.5
2,3 35
FORECAST
1,3 344
TIERCE
1,3,2 1,001
TRIO
1,2,3 135
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 370
QUARTET
1,3,2,11 11,488
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,13/1,2,3 68,428
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14
6TH DOUBLE
13/1 159.5
13/3 89.5