沙田 · 2021-01-31
第 1場
2021-01-31沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的FANTASTIC WAY勝出，贏出3/4。FIRE BALL獲得亞軍；VUKAN獲得季軍。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FANTASTIC WAY 1.08.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 1.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | FIRE BALL TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 6 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | VUKAN K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | SIMPLY SPECTACULAR H Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 3 | 7.7 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | GLADSOME RYDER N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 13 | 285.0 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | XPONENTIAL CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 61.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | CHIRON CP1/TT1 C Soumillon · D A Hayes | C Soumillon | D A Hayes | 5 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | STRATHMARTINE B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 11 | 282.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | COBY OPPA CP2 H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 49.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HAPPY WARRIOR H K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 14 | 195.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | THE SUBMARINE B1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 312.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | TOP ACCOLADE B1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 10 | 249.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | VAST STARLIGHT H T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 110.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SIMPLY SPECTACULAR | 40.3% | 2.48 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | FANTASTIC WAY | 22.0% | 4.55 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 8.1% | 12.34 | 7 |
| 4 | 14 | FIRE BALL | 6.2% | 16.20 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | CHIRON | 5.4% | 18.47 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | VUKAN | 5.0% | 20.15 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | XPONENTIAL | 3.1% | 31.76 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 2.8% | 35.10 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | GLADSOME RYDER | 1.7% | 60.52 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | STRATHMARTINE | 1.6% | 63.98 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | COBY OPPA | 1.5% | 64.82 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | VAST STARLIGHT | 1.2% | 85.61 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | TOP ACCOLADE | 0.7% | 144.14 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | THE SUBMARINE | 0.5% | 209.16 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 14
PLACE
7 11
12 23.5
14 15
QUINELLA
7,14 39.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,12 33.5
7,14 19
12,14 65.5
FORECAST
7,14 50
TIERCE
7,14,12 222
TRIO
7,12,14 125
FIRST 4
3,7,12,14 111
QUARTET
7,14,12,3 1,121
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 11.5