沙田 · 2021-01-31
第 2場
2021-01-31沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的GALAXY EMPEROR勝出，贏出3/4。SEIZE THE SPIRIT獲得亞軍；CITY LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.7倍大熱門CITY LEGEND跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GALAXY EMPEROR 後段發力 B/H/TT 1.22.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT 後段發力 T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 9 | 90.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER 後段發力 C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 14 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION 早段領放 B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | FOR FUN'S SAKE 後段發力 H-/V- B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SPICY GRILL H/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 3 | 5.3 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | GALAXY RACER V-/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 8 | 73.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | RED MAJESTY CP-/B1/TT1 C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 2 | 50.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | DESTIN B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 5.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | LITTLE GENERAL 後段發力 CP2/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 12 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | VIVA COUNCIL H2/TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | WONDER BRAHMA N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 13 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 19.5% | 5.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | CITY LEGEND | 16.0% | 6.24 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | DESTIN | 13.7% | 7.30 | 11 |
| 4 | 14 | WONDER BRAHMA | 7.5% | 13.42 | 14 |
| 5 | 6 | SPICY GRILL | 6.6% | 15.19 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION | 6.5% | 15.46 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 5.6% | 18.00 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 5.4% | 18.60 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | VIVA COUNCIL | 4.6% | 21.55 | 13 |
| 10 | 13 | LITTLE GENERAL | 4.6% | 21.76 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | GALAXY RACER | 4.0% | 24.92 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 2.3% | 43.57 | 7 |
| 13 | 4 | RED MAJESTY | 2.2% | 45.34 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 1.5% | 65.00 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 113.5
PLACE
3 18.5
8 38
9 237
QUINELLA
8,9 4,518.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 92.5
3,9 665.5
8,9 1,041.5
FORECAST
8,9 4,376
TIERCE
8,9,3 39,940
TRIO
3,8,9 6,230
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 11,099
QUARTET
8,9,3,7 337,343
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
7/8 130.5
7/9 169.5
3 PICK 1
A2 42
A3 —
A1 —