沙田 · 2021-01-31
第 9場
2021-01-31沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的CASIMIRO勝出，贏出N。TELECOM FIGHTERS獲得亞軍；AUTHENTIC CHAMP獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門LOOKING GREAT跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CASIMIRO 後段發力 1.33.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 33.0 | N |
| 2 | 13 | TELECOM FIGHTERS 後段發力 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 5.9 | N |
| 3 | 8 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP 後段發力 B/H C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 11 | 5.1 | N |
| 4 | 3 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | LOOKING GREAT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | BEAUTY DAY 早段領放 B/H M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | HANG'S DECISION B M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 8 | 148.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | KING OPIE V T Piccone · F C Lor | T Piccone | F C Lor | 7 | 107.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CALIFORNIA TEN CP-/B1/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 5 | 74.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | AI ONE 後段發力 XB C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 14 | 175.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | TOYCOON H/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 37.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | LEGION OF MERIT B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 13 | 282.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | PIANO SOLO XB1/TT1 C Soumillon · C S Shum | C Soumillon | C S Shum | 1 | 6.9 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 27.7% | 3.62 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 21.7% | 4.60 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | LOOKING GREAT | 18.2% | 5.50 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | LEADING FORTUNE | 6.6% | 15.13 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | BEAUTY DAY | 6.5% | 15.31 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | PIANO SOLO | 4.9% | 20.42 | 14 |
| 7 | 13 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.4% | 29.05 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | CASIMIRO | 3.4% | 29.19 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | TOYCOON | 2.0% | 49.52 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 2.0% | 50.09 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | KING OPIE | 1.6% | 62.10 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | AI ONE | 1.0% | 100.69 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | HANG'S DECISION | 0.5% | 182.92 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | LEGION OF MERIT | 0.4% | 274.86 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 333
PLACE
8 19.5
10 70
13 22
QUINELLA
10,13 851
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 214.5
8,13 63
10,13 229
FORECAST
10,13 2,624
TIERCE
10,13,8 14,369
TRIO
8,10,13 1,333
FIRST 4
3,8,10,13 1,904
QUARTET
10,13,8,3 70,553
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 28
A2 —
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
11/10 1,994.5
11/13 63