Sha Tin · 2021-01-31
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CASIMIRO Closed strongly 1.33.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 33.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Closed strongly K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 5.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP Closed strongly B/H C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 11 | 5.1 | N |
| 4 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY Led early B/H M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION B M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 8 | 148.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KING OPIE V T Piccone · F C Lor | T Piccone | F C Lor | 7 | 107.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN CP-/B1/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 5 | 74.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | AI ONE Closed strongly XB C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 14 | 175.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | TOYCOON H/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 37.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 13 | 282.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | PIANO SOLO XB1/TT1 C Soumillon · C S Shum | C Soumillon | C S Shum | 1 | 6.9 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-31 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CASIMIRO, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by N, with TELECOM FIGHTERS second and AUTHENTIC CHAMP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite LOOKING GREAT finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 27.7% | 3.62 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 21.7% | 4.60 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 18.2% | 5.50 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 6.6% | 15.13 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY | 6.5% | 15.31 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | PIANO SOLO | 4.9% | 20.42 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.4% | 29.05 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 3.4% | 29.19 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | TOYCOON | 2.0% | 49.52 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 2.0% | 50.09 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | KING OPIE | 1.6% | 62.10 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | AI ONE | 1.0% | 100.69 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 0.5% | 182.92 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 0.4% | 274.86 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 333
PLACE
8 19.5
10 70
13 22
QUINELLA
10,13 851
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 214.5
8,13 63
10,13 229
FORECAST
10,13 2,624
TIERCE
10,13,8 14,369
TRIO
8,10,13 1,333
FIRST 4
3,8,10,13 1,904
QUARTET
10,13,8,3 70,553
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 28
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
11/10 1,994.5
11/13 63