Sha Tin · 2021-01-31
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-31 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GLORIOUS DRAGON, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with EXULTANT second and FURORE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite FURORE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly TT 1.46.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | EXULTANT Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | FURORE Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | SINGAPORE SLING CP K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | TIME WARP Led early TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 1 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly H/TT C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 9 | 5.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HARMONY VICTORY Closed strongly SR-/CP1/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HO HO KHAN B2 M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 5 | 53.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SAVVY NINE XB V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 7 | 18.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | CHEFANO B/XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 83.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EXULTANT | 25.8% | 3.87 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | FURORE | 20.2% | 4.94 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 19.1% | 5.23 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | SAVVY NINE | 10.3% | 9.67 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 10.3% | 9.74 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | HARMONY VICTORY | 4.4% | 22.94 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | HO HO KHAN | 3.2% | 31.18 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | SINGAPORE SLING | 3.0% | 33.13 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | TIME WARP | 2.7% | 36.93 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | CHEFANO | 0.9% | 111.83 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 62.5
PLACE
1 14
2 12.5
10 19
QUINELLA
1,10 89.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 23
1,10 35.5
2,10 39
FORECAST
10,1 220
TIERCE
10,1,2 586
TRIO
1,2,10 84
FIRST 4
1,2,9,10 395
QUARTET
10,1,2,9 10,373
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,12/1,2,10 2,178
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 25.5
6TH DOUBLE
12/1 47
12/10 361