Sha Tin · 2021-01-31
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-31 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ULTRA EXPRESS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by N, with GREEN ENVY second and WINS ALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite WINS ALL finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly TT 1.22.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 7.8 | N |
| 2 | 13 | GREEN ENVY Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 9 | WINS ALL Led early TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | EL JEFE Closed strongly XB/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 14 | 38.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | DIAMOND RHYME XB C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 10 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | BEST FOR YOU B C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 2 | 39.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly CP T Piccone · P O'Sullivan | T Piccone | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | TRAVEL GLORY V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 5 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | UNIVERSAL CROWN Closed strongly XB/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 13 | 136.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | PEARL CHAMPION B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 6 | 34.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | GOLDEN LINK M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 50.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | GREEN ENVY | 24.6% | 4.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | WINS ALL | 20.5% | 4.88 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 13.4% | 7.44 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | ZONE D | 7.3% | 13.69 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 5.1% | 19.42 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | DIAMOND RHYME | 5.1% | 19.74 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | STUNNING IMPACT | 4.5% | 22.46 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | EL JEFE | 3.9% | 25.91 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | PEARL CHAMPION | 3.2% | 31.66 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | BEST FOR YOU | 3.0% | 32.82 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | TRAVEL GLORY | 2.9% | 34.06 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | GOLDEN LINK | 2.5% | 39.67 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 2.5% | 39.97 | 1 |
| 14 | 14 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 1.5% | 67.67 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 78.5
PLACE
9 15.5
11 22.5
13 18
QUINELLA
11,13 249
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 64.5
9,13 33
11,13 84
FORECAST
11,13 449
TIERCE
11,13,9 1,152
TRIO
9,11,13 157
FIRST 4
5,9,11,13 1,237
QUARTET
11,13,9,5 23,919
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 36.5
A1 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/11 393.5
10/13 57.5