Sha Tin · 2021-01-31
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-31 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SUNNY BOY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with SUNSET WATCH second and UTOPIA LIFE third. The 3.2 favourite ALL FOR SOUTH finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUNNY BOY B/TT 1.08.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 1 | 8.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SUNSET WATCH P2 K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE V N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 12 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | FLYING BONUS P1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER ALLIANCES P M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 6 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ALL FOR SOUTH B J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 10 | 3.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | AQUILA B1/SB1 C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 3 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | GUNNAR TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 5.8 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | TELECOM SMART XB C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 95.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | JUST NOT LISTENING V H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 2 | 42.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | ETERNAL BEAUTY TT1 T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 5 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | FALCON TURBO B/XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 8 | 8.4 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 28.0% | 3.57 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 11.1% | 9.03 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | SUNSET WATCH | 11.1% | 9.04 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | GUNNAR | 9.6% | 10.41 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | FLYING BONUS | 7.7% | 13.04 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | SUNNY BOY | 7.5% | 13.38 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | AQUILA | 6.0% | 16.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | FALCON TURBO | 5.7% | 17.41 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE | 4.9% | 20.30 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | ETERNAL BEAUTY | 4.0% | 24.93 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 2.2% | 45.24 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | TELECOM SMART | 2.2% | 45.86 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 85
PLACE
1 25.5
2 30
5 39
QUINELLA
1,5 527.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 131.5
1,5 161
2,5 227
FORECAST
1,5 1,311
TIERCE
1,5,2 8,533
TRIO
1,2,5 1,882
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 7,264
QUARTET
1,5,2,10 124,405
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 31
4TH DOUBLE
9/1 1,425.5
9/5 360