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Sha Tin · 2021-01-31

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1200m 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.49
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUNNY BOY B/TT 1.08.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W Y So 1 8.5 3/4
2 0 SUNSET WATCH P2 K Teetan · K W Lui 9 14.0 3/4
3 0 UTOPIA LIFE V N Callan · K L Man 12 12.0 1-1/4
4 0 FLYING BONUS P1 A Hamelin · C H Yip 11 18.0 1-1/2
5 0 SUPER ALLIANCES P M Chadwick · J Size 6 7.8 2-1/4
6 0 ALL FOR SOUTH B J Moreira · F C Lor 10 3.2 2-3/4
7 0 AQUILA B1/SB1 C Y Ho · K H Ting 3 13.0 4-1/2
8 0 GUNNAR TT K H Chan · C Fownes 7 5.8 5
9 0 TELECOM SMART XB C Wong · Y S Tsui 4 95.0 5-1/2
10 0 JUST NOT LISTENING V H T Mo · T P Yung 2 42.0 6-1/4
11 0 ETERNAL BEAUTY TT1 T Piccone · A S Cruz 5 23.0 7-1/4
12 0 FALCON TURBO B/XB C Schofield · A T Millard 8 8.4 9-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-31 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SUNNY BOY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with SUNSET WATCH second and UTOPIA LIFE third. The 3.2 favourite ALL FOR SOUTH finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUNNY BOY—2. SUNSET WATCH+0.75L3. UTOPIA LIFE+1.25L4. FLYING BONUS+1.5L5. SUPER ALLIANCES+2.25L6. ALL FOR SOUTH+2.75L7. AQUILA+4.5L8. GUNNAR+5L9. TELECOM SMART+5.5L10. JUST NOT LISTENING+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick ALL FOR SOUTH (28.0%) finished 6th — the winner SUNNY BOY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ALL FOR SOUTH 28.0% 3.57 6
2 0 SUPER ALLIANCES 11.1% 9.03 5
3 0 SUNSET WATCH 11.1% 9.04 2
4 0 GUNNAR 9.6% 10.41 8
5 0 FLYING BONUS 7.7% 13.04 4
6 0 SUNNY BOY 7.5% 13.38 1
7 0 AQUILA 6.0% 16.68 7
8 0 FALCON TURBO 5.7% 17.41 12
9 0 UTOPIA LIFE 4.9% 20.30 3
10 0 ETERNAL BEAUTY 4.0% 24.93 11
11 0 JUST NOT LISTENING 2.2% 45.24 10
12 0 TELECOM SMART 2.2% 45.86 9
ALL FOR SOUTHSUPER ALLIANCESSUNSET WATCHGUNNARFLYING BONUSSUNNY BOY — wonAQUILAFALCON TURBOUTOPIA LIFEETERNAL BEAUTYJUST NOT LISTENINGTELECOM SMART

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 85

PLACE

1 25.5

2 30

5 39

QUINELLA

1,5 527.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 131.5

1,5 161

2,5 227

FORECAST

1,5 1,311

TIERCE

1,5,2 8,533

TRIO

1,2,5 1,882

FIRST 4

1,2,5,10 7,264

QUARTET

1,5,2,10 124,405

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 31

A3 —

A1 —

4TH DOUBLE

9/1 1,425.5

9/5 360