Sha Tin · 2021-01-31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN Closed strongly TT 1.34.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING STEED Closed strongly CP-/B1/H1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 20.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | NUNCHUKS Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 9.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DONC JE SUIS Closed strongly CP B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BULLETPROOF B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LAND POWER J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 9 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLD 'N' BOLD Closed strongly V K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK Closed strongly B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 80.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 8 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Led early B Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 2.2 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | BRAVE POWER B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL B/TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 2 | 106.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | RUBY STARS B/TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 7 | 198.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 13 | 122.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | COUNTRY BOY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-31 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY WIN WIN, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C H Yip, won by N, with WINNING STEED second and NUNCHUKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite CHEERFUL DAYS finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LAND POWER | 20.0% | 5.00 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 18.1% | 5.53 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 16.9% | 5.91 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 11.8% | 8.48 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 7.1% | 14.17 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING STEED | 6.5% | 15.49 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN | 5.7% | 17.50 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLD 'N' BOLD | 3.6% | 27.95 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 3.1% | 31.95 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | DONC JE SUIS | 2.2% | 45.11 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 1.7% | 57.51 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK | 1.5% | 65.86 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL | 1.1% | 89.39 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | RUBY STARS | 0.7% | 147.05 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 127
PLACE
6 51.5
9 27
10 25
QUINELLA
6,9 1,196.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 292.5
6,10 226
9,10 157
FORECAST
9,6 1,998
TIERCE
9,6,10 19,464
TRIO
6,9,10 2,055
FIRST 4
4,6,9,10 5,615
QUARTET
9,6,10,4 150,197
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/6,9,10 52,162
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 27
3RD DOUBLE
1/6 131.5
1/9 741