Sha Tin · 2021-01-31
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FANTASTIC WAY 1.08.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 1.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FIRE BALL TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 6 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | VUKAN K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SIMPLY SPECTACULAR H Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 3 | 7.7 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | GLADSOME RYDER N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 13 | 285.0 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | XPONENTIAL CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 61.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CHIRON CP1/TT1 C Soumillon · D A Hayes | C Soumillon | D A Hayes | 5 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | STRATHMARTINE B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 11 | 282.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | COBY OPPA CP2 H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 49.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY WARRIOR H K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 14 | 195.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | THE SUBMARINE B1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 312.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE B1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 10 | 249.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | VAST STARLIGHT H T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 110.0 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-31 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FANTASTIC WAY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with FIRE BALL second and VUKAN third. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLY SPECTACULAR | 40.3% | 2.48 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | FANTASTIC WAY | 22.0% | 4.55 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 8.1% | 12.34 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | FIRE BALL | 6.2% | 16.20 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CHIRON | 5.4% | 18.47 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | VUKAN | 5.0% | 20.15 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | XPONENTIAL | 3.1% | 31.76 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 2.8% | 35.10 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | GLADSOME RYDER | 1.7% | 60.52 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | STRATHMARTINE | 1.6% | 63.98 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | COBY OPPA | 1.5% | 64.82 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | VAST STARLIGHT | 1.2% | 85.61 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE | 0.7% | 144.14 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | THE SUBMARINE | 0.5% | 209.16 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 14
PLACE
7 11
12 23.5
14 15
QUINELLA
7,14 39.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,12 33.5
7,14 19
12,14 65.5
FORECAST
7,14 50
TIERCE
7,14,12 222
TRIO
7,12,14 125
FIRST 4
3,7,12,14 111
QUARTET
7,14,12,3 1,121
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 11.5
A2 —