Sha Tin · 2021-01-31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-31 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GALAXY EMPEROR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with SEIZE THE SPIRIT second and CITY LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite CITY LEGEND finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GALAXY EMPEROR Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.22.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 9 | 90.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 14 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION Led early B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | FOR FUN'S SAKE Closed strongly H-/V- B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SPICY GRILL H/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 3 | 5.3 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | GALAXY RACER V-/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 8 | 73.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | RED MAJESTY CP-/B1/TT1 C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 2 | 50.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | DESTIN B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 5.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | LITTLE GENERAL Closed strongly CP2/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 12 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | VIVA COUNCIL H2/TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | WONDER BRAHMA N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | 13 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 19.5% | 5.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | CITY LEGEND | 16.0% | 6.24 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | DESTIN | 13.7% | 7.30 | 11 |
| 4 | 14 | WONDER BRAHMA | 7.5% | 13.42 | 14 |
| 5 | 6 | SPICY GRILL | 6.6% | 15.19 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION | 6.5% | 15.46 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 5.6% | 18.00 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 5.4% | 18.60 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | VIVA COUNCIL | 4.6% | 21.55 | 13 |
| 10 | 13 | LITTLE GENERAL | 4.6% | 21.76 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | GALAXY RACER | 4.0% | 24.92 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 2.3% | 43.57 | 7 |
| 13 | 4 | RED MAJESTY | 2.2% | 45.34 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 1.5% | 65.00 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 113.5
PLACE
3 18.5
8 38
9 237
QUINELLA
8,9 4,518.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 92.5
3,9 665.5
8,9 1,041.5
FORECAST
8,9 4,376
TIERCE
8,9,3 39,940
TRIO
3,8,9 6,230
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 11,099
QUARTET
8,9,3,7 337,343
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/8 130.5
7/9 169.5
3 PICK 1
A2 42
A3 —
A1 —