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Sha Tin · 2021-01-31

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.50
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GALAXY EMPEROR Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.22.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz 11 11.0 3/4
2 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly T Piccone · Y S Tsui 9 90.0 3/4
3 0 CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 1 4.7 3/4
4 0 VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly C Soumillon · C H Yip 14 12.0 1-1/4
5 0 GOLDEN MISSION Led early B A Hamelin · C W Chang 5 14.0 2-1/4
6 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B K H Chan · P F Yiu 4 12.0 2-1/4
7 0 FOR FUN'S SAKE Closed strongly H-/V- B Shinn · C Fownes 6 13.0 2-1/2
8 0 SPICY GRILL H/TT V Borges · K W Lui 3 5.3 3
9 0 GALAXY RACER V-/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson 8 73.0 3-3/4
10 0 RED MAJESTY CP-/B1/TT1 C Schofield · D A Hayes 2 50.0 4
11 0 DESTIN B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan 10 5.1 4-1/2
12 0 LITTLE GENERAL Closed strongly CP2/TT A Badel · C S Shum 12 16.0 5-1/4
13 0 VIVA COUNCIL H2/TT1 H T Mo · L Ho 7 24.0 5-3/4
14 0 WONDER BRAHMA N Callan · D J Hall 13 12.0 7-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-31 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GALAXY EMPEROR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with SEIZE THE SPIRIT second and CITY LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite CITY LEGEND finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALAXY EMPEROR—2. SEIZE THE SPIRIT+0.75L3. CITY LEGEND+0.75L4. VICTORIOUS LEADER+1.25L5. GOLDEN MISSION+2.25L6. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+2.25L7. FOR FUN'S SAKE+2.5L8. SPICY GRILL+3L9. GALAXY RACER+3.75L10. RED MAJESTY+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GALAXY EMPEROR (19.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GALAXY EMPEROR 19.5% 5.12 1
2 0 CITY LEGEND 16.0% 6.24 3
3 0 DESTIN 13.7% 7.30 11
4 0 WONDER BRAHMA 7.5% 13.42 14
5 0 SPICY GRILL 6.6% 15.19 8
6 0 GOLDEN MISSION 6.5% 15.46 5
7 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 5.6% 18.00 6
8 0 VICTORIOUS LEADER 5.4% 18.60 4
9 0 VIVA COUNCIL 4.6% 21.55 13
10 0 LITTLE GENERAL 4.6% 21.76 12
11 0 GALAXY RACER 4.0% 24.92 9
12 0 FOR FUN'S SAKE 2.3% 43.57 7
13 0 RED MAJESTY 2.2% 45.34 10
14 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT 1.5% 65.00 2
GALAXY EMPEROR — wonCITY LEGENDDESTINWONDER BRAHMASPICY GRILLGOLDEN MISSIONWINWIN THIRTYTHREEVICTORIOUS LEADERVIVA COUNCILLITTLE GENERALGALAXY RACERFOR FUN'S SAKERED MAJESTYSEIZE THE SPIRIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 113.5

PLACE

3 18.5

8 38

9 237

QUINELLA

8,9 4,518.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,8 92.5

3,9 665.5

8,9 1,041.5

FORECAST

8,9 4,376

TIERCE

8,9,3 39,940

TRIO

3,8,9 6,230

FIRST 4

3,7,8,9 11,099

QUARTET

8,9,3,7 337,343

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/8 130.5

7/9 169.5

3 PICK 1

A2 42

A3 —

A1 —