沙田 · 2021-01-31
第 4場
2021-01-31沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C H Yip訓練的HAPPY WIN WIN勝出，贏出N。WINNING STEED獲得亞軍；NUNCHUKS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門CHEERFUL DAYS跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HAPPY WIN WIN 後段發力 TT 1.34.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | WINNING STEED 後段發力 CP-/B1/H1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 20.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | NUNCHUKS 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 9.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | DONC JE SUIS 後段發力 CP B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | BULLETPROOF B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LAND POWER J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 9 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | GOLD 'N' BOLD 後段發力 V K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | AMAZING LUCK 後段發力 B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 80.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | SURE WIN WIN 後段發力 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 8 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CHEERFUL DAYS 早段領放 B Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 2.2 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | BRAVE POWER B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | MCMUNIGAL B/TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 2 | 106.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | RUBY STARS B/TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 7 | 198.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | SAVVY KINGMAN M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 13 | 122.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | COUNTRY BOY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LAND POWER | 20.0% | 5.00 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 18.1% | 5.53 | 10 |
| 3 | 10 | NUNCHUKS | 16.9% | 5.91 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 11.8% | 8.48 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | BULLETPROOF | 7.1% | 14.17 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | WINNING STEED | 6.5% | 15.49 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | SURE WIN WIN | 5.7% | 17.50 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | GOLD 'N' BOLD | 3.6% | 27.95 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | BRAVE POWER | 3.1% | 31.95 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | DONC JE SUIS | 2.2% | 45.11 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 1.7% | 57.51 | 14 |
| 12 | 7 | AMAZING LUCK | 1.5% | 65.86 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | MCMUNIGAL | 1.1% | 89.39 | 12 |
| 14 | 1 | RUBY STARS | 0.7% | 147.05 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 127
PLACE
6 51.5
9 27
10 25
QUINELLA
6,9 1,196.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 292.5
6,10 226
9,10 157
FORECAST
9,6 1,998
TIERCE
9,6,10 19,464
TRIO
6,9,10 2,055
FIRST 4
4,6,9,10 5,615
QUARTET
9,6,10,4 150,197
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/6,9,10 52,162
3 PICK 1
A3 27
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/6 131.5
1/9 741