沙田 · 2021-03-28
第 4場
2021-03-28沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的SUPER TEN勝出，贏出3。CHEERFUL DAYS獲得亞軍；ERNEST FEELING獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.9倍大熱門CHEERFUL DAYS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER TEN 一路領先 XB/CP1 1.21.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 4.9 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | CHEERFUL DAYS 後段發力 B J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 13 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | ERNEST FEELING 後段發力 TT1 N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SPEED FAY FAY 後段發力 B C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 2 | 9.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER MISSION 後段發力 H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | TELECOM ROCKET B-/CP2 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 6 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | KUNG FU TEA 後段發力 SR M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | VIVA POPCORN 後段發力 H1/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 1 | 142.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | COPARTNER AMBITION TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 4.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | TELECOM ELITE B1 B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 170.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | E BROTHER A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 104.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT H N Wong · J Size | H N Wong | J Size | 9 | 131.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | GOLDEN FOUR A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 10 | 30.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | BLAZING BEAT B K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 14 | 80.0 | ML |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 30.7% | 3.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 20.0% | 5.01 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | SPEED FAY FAY | 10.9% | 9.21 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER TEN | 8.5% | 11.79 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER MISSION | 8.2% | 12.14 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | ERNEST FEELING | 5.0% | 20.12 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | TELECOM ROCKET | 4.1% | 24.47 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | BLAZING BEAT | 3.1% | 32.10 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | GOLDEN FOUR | 3.1% | 32.38 | 13 |
| 10 | 13 | NOBLE MAN | 2.0% | 51.22 | 12 |
| 11 | 14 | KUNG FU TEA | 1.5% | 66.16 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | E BROTHER | 1.3% | 79.20 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | VIVA POPCORN | 1.1% | 93.26 | 8 |
| 14 | 4 | TELECOM ELITE | 0.7% | 138.99 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 49
PLACE
3 13.5
5 17.5
8 41.5
QUINELLA
3,5 76
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 28.5
3,8 74
5,8 120
FORECAST
5,3 206
TIERCE
5,3,8 1,669
TRIO
3,5,8 271
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 538
QUARTET
5,3,8,1 12,460
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/3,5,8 6,983
3 PICK 1
A2 29
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/3 12
5/5 117.5