Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2021-03-28

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.21
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPER TEN Wire to wire XB/CP1 1.21.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte 11 4.9 3
2 0 CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B J Moreira · K W Lui 13 2.9 3
3 0 ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly TT1 N Callan · R Gibson 7 14.0 3-1/4
4 0 SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B C Schofield · T P Yung 2 9.2 3-3/4
5 0 SUPER MISSION Closed strongly H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 8 16.0 4-1/4
6 0 TELECOM ROCKET B-/CP2 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 6 19.0 4-3/4
7 0 KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly SR M F Poon · D J Hall 12 16.0 5-1/4
8 0 VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H1/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz 1 142.0 5-1/2
9 0 COPARTNER AMBITION TT C Y Ho · W Y So 4 4.0 5-3/4
10 0 TELECOM ELITE B1 B Shinn · P O'Sullivan 3 170.0 11-3/4
11 0 E BROTHER A Badel · K L Man 5 104.0 13-1/2
12 0 NOBLE MAN B/E/TT H N Wong · J Size 9 131.0 14-1/4
13 0 GOLDEN FOUR A Hamelin · C W Chang 10 30.0 16-1/4
14 0 BLAZING BEAT B K Teetan · K H Ting 14 80.0 ML

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-28 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER TEN, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3, with CHEERFUL DAYS second and ERNEST FEELING third. The winner led throughout. The 2.9 favourite CHEERFUL DAYS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER TEN—2. CHEERFUL DAYS+3L3. ERNEST FEELING+3.25L4. SPEED FAY FAY+3.75L5. SUPER MISSION+4.25L6. TELECOM ROCKET+4.75L7. KUNG FU TEA+5.25L8. VIVA POPCORN+5.5L9. COPARTNER AMBITION+5.75L10. TELECOM ELITE+11.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick CHEERFUL DAYS (30.7%) finished 2nd — the winner SUPER TEN was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHEERFUL DAYS 30.7% 3.26 2
2 0 COPARTNER AMBITION 20.0% 5.01 9
3 0 SPEED FAY FAY 10.9% 9.21 4
4 0 SUPER TEN 8.5% 11.79 1
5 0 SUPER MISSION 8.2% 12.14 5
6 0 ERNEST FEELING 5.0% 20.12 3
7 0 TELECOM ROCKET 4.1% 24.47 6
8 0 BLAZING BEAT 3.1% 32.10 14
9 0 GOLDEN FOUR 3.1% 32.38 13
10 0 NOBLE MAN 2.0% 51.22 12
11 0 KUNG FU TEA 1.5% 66.16 7
12 0 E BROTHER 1.3% 79.20 11
13 0 VIVA POPCORN 1.1% 93.26 8
14 0 TELECOM ELITE 0.7% 138.99 10
CHEERFUL DAYSCOPARTNER AMBITIONSPEED FAY FAYSUPER TEN — wonSUPER MISSIONERNEST FEELINGTELECOM ROCKETBLAZING BEATGOLDEN FOURNOBLE MANKUNG FU TEAE BROTHERVIVA POPCORNTELECOM ELITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 49

PLACE

3 13.5

5 17.5

8 41.5

QUINELLA

3,5 76

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 28.5

3,8 74

5,8 120

FORECAST

5,3 206

TIERCE

5,3,8 1,669

TRIO

3,5,8 271

FIRST 4

1,3,5,8 538

QUARTET

5,3,8,1 12,460

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,5/3,5,8 6,983

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 29

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE

5/3 12

5/5 117.5