Sha Tin · 2021-03-28
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP Closed strongly B/H 1.34.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 12 | 5.4 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 10 | 2.9 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 6 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARGE ON Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 3 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SO WE JOY TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 14 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 13 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SERIOUS LIAISON Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 8.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY Led early B/H M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 2 | 9.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 191.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MR ALDAN B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 11 | 61.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SPARKY TRAIL C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 61.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ANGEL OF MY EYES TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 29-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-28 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AUTHENTIC CHAMP, ridden by N Callan and trained by K H Ting, won by HD, with LOOKING GREAT second and KYRUS UNICORN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite LOOKING GREAT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 24.6% | 4.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 12.1% | 8.28 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | ANGEL OF MY EYES | 11.5% | 8.69 | 14 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY DAY | 10.5% | 9.51 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 8.2% | 12.20 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 6.5% | 15.31 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARGE ON | 5.9% | 17.00 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SO WE JOY | 4.6% | 21.62 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SERIOUS LIAISON | 4.4% | 22.77 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SACRED IBIS | 3.9% | 25.65 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 3.2% | 31.46 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | SPARKY TRAIL | 1.9% | 52.97 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 1.8% | 55.91 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 0.9% | 106.85 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 54.5
PLACE
4 40
7 19.5
10 14.5
QUINELLA
7,10 92
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 141
4,10 75
7,10 37.5
FORECAST
7,10 247
TIERCE
7,10,4 2,237
TRIO
4,7,10 459
FIRST 4
4,7,10,14 1,837
QUARTET
7,10,4,14 35,023
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 21
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/7 833
11/10 111.5