Sha Tin · 2021-03-28
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B 1.21.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | ALLOY STAR Closed strongly B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | GREAT HARVEST Closed strongly N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 7 | 5.1 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS B A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 5 | 7.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TIGER GLARE Closed strongly H/TT2 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FIRE AND GOLD Closed strongly B/TT2 H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 82.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI B-/CP1/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CRUCIATUS Closed strongly XB/TT R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 14 | 70.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 55.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | WAYFOONG STAR Led early H-/SR/TT- C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 30.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SOCCER MASTER B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 3 | 26.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | UNIVERSAL RECORD CP M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 6 | 32.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-28 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with ALLOY STAR second and GREAT HARVEST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALLOY STAR | 28.9% | 3.46 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 17.7% | 5.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GREAT HARVEST | 14.3% | 6.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 8.1% | 12.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SOCCER MASTER | 5.0% | 20.16 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | TIGER GLARE | 4.3% | 23.07 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 4.2% | 23.63 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 4.1% | 24.24 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 3.2% | 31.34 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 2.9% | 34.20 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 2.5% | 40.34 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | CRUCIATUS | 2.0% | 51.01 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | WAYFOONG STAR | 1.9% | 53.93 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | FIRE AND GOLD | 0.9% | 105.89 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 48.5
PLACE
4 18
8 19.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
4,9 159
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 51.5
4,9 62.5
8,9 46
FORECAST
4,9 242
TIERCE
4,9,8 811
TRIO
4,8,9 156
FIRST 4
4,8,9,10 199
QUARTET
4,9,8,10 3,585
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 25.5
A2 —
A3 —