沙田 · 2021-03-28
第 1場
2021-03-28沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WINWIN THIRTYTHREE勝出，贏出2。ALLOY STAR獲得亞軍；GREAT HARVEST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 B 1.21.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | ALLOY STAR 後段發力 B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | GREAT HARVEST 後段發力 N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 7 | 5.1 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | ONE STEP AHEAD 後段發力 B/TT C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS B A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 5 | 7.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | TIGER GLARE 後段發力 H/TT2 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | THE FULL BLOOM 後段發力 V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | FIRE AND GOLD 後段發力 B/TT2 H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 82.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | HAPPY JAI JAI B-/CP1/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | CRUCIATUS 後段發力 XB/TT R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 14 | 70.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 55.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | WAYFOONG STAR 早段領放 H-/SR/TT- C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 30.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | SOCCER MASTER B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 3 | 26.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | UNIVERSAL RECORD CP M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 6 | 32.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ALLOY STAR | 28.9% | 3.46 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 17.7% | 5.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | GREAT HARVEST | 14.3% | 6.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 8.1% | 12.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | SOCCER MASTER | 5.0% | 20.16 | 13 |
| 6 | 6 | TIGER GLARE | 4.3% | 23.07 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 4.2% | 23.63 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 4.1% | 24.24 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | LUCKY VICTOR | 3.2% | 31.34 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 2.9% | 34.20 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | THE FULL BLOOM | 2.5% | 40.34 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | CRUCIATUS | 2.0% | 51.01 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | WAYFOONG STAR | 1.9% | 53.93 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | FIRE AND GOLD | 0.9% | 105.89 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 48.5
PLACE
4 18
8 19.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
4,9 159
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 51.5
4,9 62.5
8,9 46
FORECAST
4,9 242
TIERCE
4,9,8 811
TRIO
4,8,9 156
FIRST 4
4,8,9,10 199
QUARTET
4,9,8,10 3,585
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 25.5