沙田 · 2021-03-28
第 9場
2021-03-28沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、C H Yip訓練的GOOD VIEW CLARICO勝出，贏出1-1/4。BIG FORTUNE獲得亞軍；WAR OF COURAGE獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門CHANCHENG PRINCE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO 1.08.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 2 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | WAR OF COURAGE B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | CHICKEN DANCE CP N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 60.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | MAJESTIC STAR K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CHANCHENG PRINCE P C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 4.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | WHAT A LEGEND B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 150.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | LOYAL BABY M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 47.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | JUNEAU PARK A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | ROYAL AGILITY H-/TT- H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 9 | 403.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE B- C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 10 | 58.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | FORTE XB/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 6.8 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 17.2% | 5.80 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | ALL IN MIND | 16.4% | 6.09 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | FORTE | 15.9% | 6.27 | 13 |
| 4 | 6 | JUNEAU PARK | 12.1% | 8.25 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 9.4% | 10.60 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | MAJESTIC STAR | 7.4% | 13.45 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | BIG FORTUNE | 6.0% | 16.76 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | WAR OF COURAGE | 4.8% | 20.62 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | LOYAL BABY | 3.2% | 31.12 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | CHICKEN DANCE | 2.9% | 34.47 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 2.3% | 42.98 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | WHAT A LEGEND | 1.8% | 55.61 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | ROYAL AGILITY | 0.4% | 283.13 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 77
PLACE
3 33.5
4 24
10 38
QUINELLA
3,4 450.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 135
3,10 218.5
4,10 162.5
FORECAST
4,3 996
TIERCE
4,3,10 8,222
TRIO
3,4,10 1,479
FIRST 4
3,4,8,10 9,808
QUARTET
4,3,10,8 138,034
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 27
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
7/3 148
7/4 602