沙田 · 2021-03-28
第 8場
2021-03-28沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由N Callan策騎、K H Ting訓練的AUTHENTIC CHAMP勝出，贏出HD。LOOKING GREAT獲得亞軍；KYRUS UNICORN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門LOOKING GREAT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP 後段發力 B/H 1.34.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 12 | 5.4 | HD |
| 2 | 10 | LOOKING GREAT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 10 | 2.9 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | KYRUS UNICORN 後段發力 R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 6 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | CHARGE ON 後段發力 B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 3 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SACRED IBIS 後段發力 XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | SO WE JOY TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 14 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 13 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | SERIOUS LIAISON 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 8.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY DAY 早段領放 B/H M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 2 | 9.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | JOLLY HONOUR B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 191.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | NATURAL STORM 後段發力 B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | MR ALDAN B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 11 | 61.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | SPARKY TRAIL C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 61.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | ANGEL OF MY EYES TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 29-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LOOKING GREAT | 24.6% | 4.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 12.1% | 8.28 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | ANGEL OF MY EYES | 11.5% | 8.69 | 14 |
| 4 | 9 | BEAUTY DAY | 10.5% | 9.51 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | NATURAL STORM | 8.2% | 12.20 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 6.5% | 15.31 | 7 |
| 7 | 14 | CHARGE ON | 5.9% | 17.00 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | SO WE JOY | 4.6% | 21.62 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | SERIOUS LIAISON | 4.4% | 22.77 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | SACRED IBIS | 3.9% | 25.65 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | KYRUS UNICORN | 3.2% | 31.46 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 | SPARKY TRAIL | 1.9% | 52.97 | 13 |
| 13 | 1 | MR ALDAN | 1.8% | 55.91 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | JOLLY HONOUR | 0.9% | 106.85 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 54.5
PLACE
4 40
7 19.5
10 14.5
QUINELLA
7,10 92
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 141
4,10 75
7,10 37.5
FORECAST
7,10 247
TIERCE
7,10,4 2,237
TRIO
4,7,10 459
FIRST 4
4,7,10,14 1,837
QUARTET
7,10,4,14 35,023
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 21
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/7 833
11/10 111.5