沙田 · 2021-03-28
第 6場
2021-03-28沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的GALLANT EXPRESS勝出，贏出1-3/4。SMART WONGCHOY獲得亞軍；DIAMOND BRILLIANT獲得季軍。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GALLANT EXPRESS E1 1.08.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 2.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SMART WONGCHOY H A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | IRON KING H/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SEASONS BLISS C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | DRAGON FORTUNE TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 5.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | VIGOR CHAMP B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 1 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | HAPPY TIME TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 9 | 119.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | LOTUS FAVORITES H1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 361.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | AUGUST MOON B C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 234.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | PEGASUS GLORY B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 13 | 21.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | FORTUNE CARRIER B- H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 14 | 87.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | GO GO SIXTEEN C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 23.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 23.7% | 4.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 16.4% | 6.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 12.7% | 7.90 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS | 10.2% | 9.79 | 8 |
| 5 | 13 | VIGOR CHAMP | 7.0% | 14.28 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | SMART WONGCHOY | 6.8% | 14.81 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | PEGASUS GLORY | 4.4% | 22.68 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | SEASONS BLISS | 4.4% | 22.76 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 4.1% | 24.44 | 14 |
| 10 | 14 | IRON KING | 4.0% | 25.06 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY TIME | 2.6% | 38.01 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 1.5% | 66.15 | 13 |
| 13 | 5 | AUGUST MOON | 1.4% | 70.19 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 0.8% | 126.37 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 21
PLACE
1 20
6 12.5
12 28.5
QUINELLA
6,12 93
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 42
1,12 89.5
6,12 38.5
FORECAST
6,12 143
TIERCE
6,12,1 721
TRIO
1,6,12 216
FIRST 4
1,6,12,14 1,440
QUARTET
6,12,1,14 14,677
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
13/6 488.5
13/12 183
TRIPLE TRIO
3,5,8/3,4,13/1,6,12 344,424
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,8/3,4,13/Any Combination 1,488