沙田 · 2021-03-28
第 7場
2021-03-28沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由R Maia策騎、T P Yung訓練的CITY LEGEND勝出，贏出2-1/2。GRACYLOVE獲得亞軍；ZONE D獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門MISSION SMART跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT 1.21.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | GRACYLOVE 後段發力 B- K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 5 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | ZONE D 後段發力 H/P/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 7 | 4.8 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | MISSION SMART 後段發力 CP/H J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 1 | 3.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | GREEN ENVY 後段發力 V/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 4.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | GARLIC HERO 早段領放 E/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | FORTUNE MASTER 後段發力 K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 5.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | AMAZING LUCK 後段發力 B H W Lai · P O'Sullivan | H W Lai | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 166.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | CHEERFUL LEADER B/XB K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 12 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | FULL SAILING B1 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 269.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | TAKINGUFURTHER H/V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 13 | 47.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | TOP SCORE B/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 9 | 75.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | HAPPY RUBY H/P/XB/TT H N Wong · A T Millard | H N Wong | A T Millard | 14 | 414.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | ALEE KING PRAWN B T Piccone · D A Hayes | T Piccone | D A Hayes | 2 | 190.0 | 19-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MISSION SMART | 33.2% | 3.01 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | FORTUNE MASTER | 20.7% | 4.84 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | GREEN ENVY | 18.0% | 5.56 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | ZONE D | 10.5% | 9.55 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | CITY LEGEND | 5.3% | 18.80 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 3.6% | 27.69 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 2.2% | 45.45 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | GRACYLOVE | 1.9% | 52.97 | 2 |
| 9 | 13 | AMAZING LUCK | 1.7% | 59.13 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | FULL SAILING | 0.9% | 114.06 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | TOP SCORE | 0.7% | 134.63 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | GARLIC HERO | 0.7% | 151.16 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | ALEE KING PRAWN | 0.4% | 273.20 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | HAPPY RUBY | 0.3% | 389.66 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 119
PLACE
2 18
8 44.5
11 33.5
QUINELLA
8,11 1,278
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 152.5
2,11 126
8,11 250.5
FORECAST
11,8 2,603
TIERCE
11,8,2 18,125
TRIO
2,8,11 2,387
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 839
QUARTET
11,8,2,10 38,124
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,12/2,8,11 34,553
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 20.5
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/8 81.5
6/11 338