Sha Tin · 2021-03-28
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-28 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOOD VIEW CLARICO, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with BIG FORTUNE second and WAR OF COURAGE third. The 4.0 favourite CHANCHENG PRINCE finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO 1.08.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 2 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | WAR OF COURAGE B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | CHICKEN DANCE CP N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 60.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | MAJESTIC STAR K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CHANCHENG PRINCE P C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 4.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | WHAT A LEGEND B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 150.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | LOYAL BABY M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 47.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | JUNEAU PARK A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | ROYAL AGILITY H-/TT- H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 9 | 403.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE B- C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 10 | 58.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | FORTE XB/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 6.8 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 17.2% | 5.80 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | ALL IN MIND | 16.4% | 6.09 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | FORTE | 15.9% | 6.27 | 13 |
| 4 | 6 | JUNEAU PARK | 12.1% | 8.25 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 9.4% | 10.60 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | MAJESTIC STAR | 7.4% | 13.45 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | BIG FORTUNE | 6.0% | 16.76 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | WAR OF COURAGE | 4.8% | 20.62 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | LOYAL BABY | 3.2% | 31.12 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | CHICKEN DANCE | 2.9% | 34.47 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 2.3% | 42.98 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | WHAT A LEGEND | 1.8% | 55.61 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | ROYAL AGILITY | 0.4% | 283.13 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 77
PLACE
3 33.5
4 24
10 38
QUINELLA
3,4 450.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 135
3,10 218.5
4,10 162.5
FORECAST
4,3 996
TIERCE
4,3,10 8,222
TRIO
3,4,10 1,479
FIRST 4
3,4,8,10 9,808
QUARTET
4,3,10,8 138,034
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 27
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
7/3 148
7/4 602