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Sha Tin · 2021-03-28

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 2000m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 2.02.02
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT 2.02.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 6 9.7 1
2 0 PLAY WISE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C H Yip 9 11.0 1
3 0 EZRA Closed strongly CP-/B2 J Moreira · A T Millard 10 6.6 1-3/4
4 0 JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 13 9.4 2-1/4
5 0 DONC JE SUIS Closed strongly B Z Purton · D A Hayes 11 5.1 2-1/4
6 0 CROWN AVENUE V N Callan · C H Yip 4 11.0 2-1/2
7 0 LUCKY MISSILE Led early CP A Hamelin · D J Hall 2 77.0 2-3/4
8 0 EXALTATION V/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 1 5.1 2-3/4
9 0 PERFECT TO PLAY XB C Schofield · C Fownes 7 29.0 3
10 0 BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H M L Yeung · C W Chang 5 43.0 3-3/4
11 0 GOOD DAYS B2 A Badel · C S Shum 8 8.1 4-1/2
12 0 MORE THAN A HORSE SR-/B T Piccone · D J Whyte 3 13.0 6-1/4
13 0 MCMUNIGAL Closed strongly B/TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris 14 116.0 16-1/2
14 0 GOLD 'N' BOLD V M Chadwick · W Y So 12 63.0 17-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-28 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. KUNGFUMASTER PANDA, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1, with PLAY WISE second and EZRA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.1 favourite DONC JE SUIS finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KUNGFUMASTER PANDA—2. PLAY WISE+1L3. EZRA+1.75L4. JOYFUL HEART+2.25L5. DONC JE SUIS+2.25L6. CROWN AVENUE+2.5L7. LUCKY MISSILE+2.75L8. EXALTATION+2.75L9. PERFECT TO PLAY+3L10. BULLISH GLORY+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick DONC JE SUIS (17.6%) finished 5th — the winner KUNGFUMASTER PANDA was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DONC JE SUIS 17.6% 5.69 5
2 0 EZRA 16.6% 6.03 3
3 0 EXALTATION 13.7% 7.32 8
4 0 GOOD DAYS 9.5% 10.57 11
5 0 JOYFUL HEART 9.3% 10.78 4
6 0 KUNGFUMASTER PANDA 6.7% 14.98 1
7 0 CROWN AVENUE 6.4% 15.61 6
8 0 PERFECT TO PLAY 4.8% 20.65 9
9 0 PLAY WISE 4.0% 24.75 2
10 0 GOLD 'N' BOLD 3.6% 27.48 14
11 0 MORE THAN A HORSE 3.6% 28.10 12
12 0 LUCKY MISSILE 2.2% 45.88 7
13 0 BULLISH GLORY 1.5% 67.15 10
14 0 MCMUNIGAL 0.6% 162.57 13
DONC JE SUISEZRAEXALTATIONGOOD DAYSJOYFUL HEARTKUNGFUMASTER PANDA — wonCROWN AVENUEPERFECT TO PLAYPLAY WISEGOLD 'N' BOLDMORE THAN A HORSELUCKY MISSILEBULLISH GLORYMCMUNIGAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 97

PLACE

2 26

4 30

7 29.5

QUINELLA

4,7 596.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 145

2,7 108

4,7 184

FORECAST

7,4 860

TIERCE

7,4,2 7,211

TRIO

2,4,7 963

FIRST 4

1,2,4,7 1,743

QUARTET

7,4,2,1 43,247

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

4/4 75

4/7 379

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 33