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Sha Tin · 2021-03-28

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 2000m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-28 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. KUNGFUMASTER PANDA, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1, with PLAY WISE second and EZRA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.1 favourite DONC JE SUIS finished 5th.

Result

Official · 2.02.02
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT 2.02.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 6 9.7 1
2 4 PLAY WISE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C H Yip 9 11.0 1
3 2 EZRA Closed strongly CP-/B2 J Moreira · A T Millard 10 6.6 1-3/4
4 1 JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 13 9.4 2-1/4
5 5 DONC JE SUIS Closed strongly B Z Purton · D A Hayes 11 5.1 2-1/4
6 6 CROWN AVENUE V N Callan · C H Yip 4 11.0 2-1/2
7 8 LUCKY MISSILE Led early CP A Hamelin · D J Hall 2 77.0 2-3/4
8 10 EXALTATION V/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 1 5.1 2-3/4
9 9 PERFECT TO PLAY XB C Schofield · C Fownes 7 29.0 3
10 11 BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H M L Yeung · C W Chang 5 43.0 3-3/4
11 12 GOOD DAYS B2 A Badel · C S Shum 8 8.1 4-1/2
12 3 MORE THAN A HORSE SR-/B T Piccone · D J Whyte 3 13.0 6-1/4
13 14 MCMUNIGAL Closed strongly B/TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris 14 116.0 16-1/2
14 13 GOLD 'N' BOLD V M Chadwick · W Y So 12 63.0 17-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KUNGFUMASTER PANDA—2. PLAY WISE+1L3. EZRA+1.75L4. JOYFUL HEART+2.25L5. DONC JE SUIS+2.25L6. CROWN AVENUE+2.5L7. LUCKY MISSILE+2.75L8. EXALTATION+2.75L9. PERFECT TO PLAY+3L10. BULLISH GLORY+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick DONC JE SUIS (17.6%) finished 5th — the winner KUNGFUMASTER PANDA was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 DONC JE SUIS 17.6% 5.69 5
2 2 EZRA 16.6% 6.03 3
3 10 EXALTATION 13.7% 7.32 8
4 12 GOOD DAYS 9.5% 10.57 11
5 1 JOYFUL HEART 9.3% 10.78 4
6 7 KUNGFUMASTER PANDA 6.7% 14.98 1
7 6 CROWN AVENUE 6.4% 15.61 6
8 9 PERFECT TO PLAY 4.8% 20.65 9
9 4 PLAY WISE 4.0% 24.75 2
10 13 GOLD 'N' BOLD 3.6% 27.48 14
11 3 MORE THAN A HORSE 3.6% 28.10 12
12 8 LUCKY MISSILE 2.2% 45.88 7
13 11 BULLISH GLORY 1.5% 67.15 10
14 14 MCMUNIGAL 0.6% 162.57 13
DONC JE SUISEZRAEXALTATIONGOOD DAYSJOYFUL HEARTKUNGFUMASTER PANDA — wonCROWN AVENUEPERFECT TO PLAYPLAY WISEGOLD 'N' BOLDMORE THAN A HORSELUCKY MISSILEBULLISH GLORYMCMUNIGAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 97

PLACE

2 26

4 30

7 29.5

QUINELLA

4,7 596.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 145

2,7 108

4,7 184

FORECAST

7,4 860

TIERCE

7,4,2 7,211

TRIO

2,4,7 963

FIRST 4

1,2,4,7 1,743

QUARTET

7,4,2,1 43,247

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

4/4 75

4/7 379

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 33

← Race 1 Race 3 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 2000m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99